Francisco Alvarez Hits
Francisco Alvarez is projected for 3.3 hits. The best price on Over 2.5 is -295 at Kalshi. He has cleared 2.5 in 0 of his last 10 games (0%), versus the 75% the market implies.
Francisco Alvarez projections and betting odds for Hits. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Hits O/U 2.5
3.3projHit rate vs Over 2.5
market implies 75%- Last 5
- 0% 0 of 5
- Last 10
- 0% 0 of 10
- Last 20
- 0% 0 of 20
- Last 184
- 3% 5 of 184
Projected range
projection 3.3Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–6.0
Odds analysis
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Kalshi -295
-
Coinbase -295
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | AB | R | HIT | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | H+R+R | BB | RBI | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ TEX | 09-23 | W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-20 | L | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-19 | W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-17 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 09-15 | L | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 09-14 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NYY | 09-13 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NYY | 09-11 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 09-08 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 09-07 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-05 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-04 | W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ TB | 09-01 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TB | 08-31 | W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 08-29 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| vs MIL | 08-27 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs MIL | 08-26 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-23 | L | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-22 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-21 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SD | 08-19 | W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SD | 08-18 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SD | 08-17 | W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs WSH | 08-15 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| vs WSH | 08-14 | W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
Where can I find Francisco Alvarez Hits odds today?
This page shows live Francisco Alvarez Hits odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.
How are Francisco Alvarez Hits projections calculated?
Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Francisco Alvarez's Hits so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.
What sportsbooks offer Francisco Alvarez Hits props?
Optimal Bet compares Francisco Alvarez Hits lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Should I bet the over or under on Francisco Alvarez Hits?
Use the projections section above to see how Francisco Alvarez's projected Hits compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.