Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez is projected for 0.2 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +450 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +580. Francisco Alvarez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 1 of the last 10 games (10%), versus the 18% the market implies.
Francisco Alvarez projections and betting odds for Home Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Home Runs O/U 0.5
0.2projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 18%- Last 5
- 0% 0 of 5
- Last 10
- 10% 1 of 10
- Last 20
- 10% 2 of 20
- Last 187
- 12% 23 of 187
Projected range
projection 0.2Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair +580-
Optimal
+580
-
Pinnacle +450
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | AB | R | HIT | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | H+R+R | BB | RBI | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ WSH | 09-26 | W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ WSH | 09-25 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ TEX | 09-24 | W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TEX | 09-23 | W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-20 | L | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-19 | W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-17 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 09-15 | L | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 09-14 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NYY | 09-13 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NYY | 09-11 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 09-08 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 09-07 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-05 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-04 | W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ TB | 09-01 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TB | 08-31 | W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 08-29 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| vs MIL | 08-27 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs MIL | 08-26 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-23 | L | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-22 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 08-21 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SD | 08-19 | W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SD | 08-18 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
What are Francisco Alvarez's projections?
OPTIMAL projects Francisco Alvarez for 0.2 home runs. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.
What are the best odds on Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 home runs?
The best price on Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 home runs is +450 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +580.
How often has Francisco Alvarez gone over 0.5 home runs?
Francisco Alvarez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 0 of the last 5, 1 of the last 10, 2 of the last 20 and 23 of the last 187 games. The best price implies 18%.
What props does Francisco Alvarez have?
Sportsbooks have posted 1 prop for Francisco Alvarez: home runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Francisco Alvarez?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Francisco Alvarez's game logs.