Matt Waldron Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Matt Waldron Earned Runs

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Matt Waldron is projected for 0.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -160 at BetMGM, against a fair line of -136. He has cleared 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 62% the market implies.

Matt Waldron projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 26

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 62%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
61%
11 of 18
Last 18
61%
11 of 18
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @MIL
0 vs TOR
2 @KC
1 @ATL
1 @MIA
0 @PHI
0 @PHI
3 vs BOS
2 @TB
0 vs COL
0 vs MIA
0 vs ATL

Projected range

projection 0.9
0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair -136
  • Fair odds -136
  • BetMGM -160
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -162

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs ATL 09-02 L 0 0.7 2 0 1 0 0
vs MIA 08-31 W 1 3.0 9 5 0 0 0
vs COL 08-26 L 0 2.0 6 2 1 1 0
@ TB 08-18 W 0 2.0 6 4 1 0 2
vs BOS 08-12 W 0 0.3 1 3 1 1 3
@ PHI 08-08 W 0 1.0 3 0 0 1 0
@ PHI 08-07 W 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
@ MIA 07-25 W 0 2.0 6 3 1 0 1
@ ATL 07-23 L 0 2.0 6 3 0 0 1
@ KC 07-18 L 0 2.3 7 2 2 0 2
vs TOR 07-12 W 0 3.0 9 2 3 1 0
@ MIL 05-14 L 0 2.0 6 1 4 0 0
@ MIL 05-12 L 0 2.7 8 8 3 2 6
@ SF 05-06 W 1 5.0 15 2 7 0 1
vs CHC 04-29 L 0 5.0 15 6 1 1 3
@ COL 04-23 W 0 5.0 15 8 3 3 6
@ LAA 04-18 L 0 3.7 11 8 4 1 6
@ PHI 06-30 L 0 4.7 14 6 3 6 4

FAQ

Where can I find Matt Waldron Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Matt Waldron Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matt Waldron Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matt Waldron's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matt Waldron Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Matt Waldron Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matt Waldron Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Matt Waldron's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.