Brandon Pfaadt Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL

Brandon Pfaadt Earned Runs

ari SP MLB

Brandon Pfaadt is projected for 2.1 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -155 at DraftKings, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -131. Brandon Pfaadt has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 61% the market implies.

Brandon Pfaadt projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 25

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

2.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 61%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 62
68%
42 of 62
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 @STL
0 @PIT
0 vs SD
0 vs LAD
0 @ATL
5 @BOS
4 vs CHC
2 vs PHI
3 @HOU
6 vs TEX
1 vs NYY
4 @SD

Projected range

projection 2.1
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -131
  • Optimal -131
  • DraftKings -155
  • Onyx Odds -155
  • Courtside -155
  • Sleeper -185

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-26 W 1 7.7 23 9 7 2 4
vs NYY 09-20 W 0 4.3 13 4 3 1 1
vs TEX 09-13 L 0 6.7 20 10 7 0 6
@ HOU 09-05 W 0 6.3 19 7 4 2 3
vs PHI 09-01 L 0 6.0 18 5 1 1 2
vs CHC 08-26 W 0 6.7 20 6 3 2 4
@ BOS 08-19 W 0 5.7 17 7 8 0 5
@ ATL 08-14 W 1 7.0 21 2 7 0 0
vs LAD 08-09 L 0 7.0 21 2 2 2 0
vs SD 08-04 W 1 6.7 20 5 3 1 0
@ PIT 07-28 W 0 7.0 21 6 4 1 0
@ STL 07-23 W 1 6.0 18 7 1 2 2
vs STL 07-18 W 1 5.3 16 6 3 0 2
@ LAD 07-12 W 1 5.3 16 6 2 0 2
@ SD 07-07 W 1 5.0 15 4 6 0 0
vs SF 07-01 W 1 5.3 16 3 2 1 1
vs LAD 06-04 L 0 1.0 3 3 1 2 2
@ SEA 05-30 L 0 1.7 5 3 3 0 1
vs COL 05-24 W 0 1.7 5 2 0 0 1
vs SF 05-20 W 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0
@ COL 05-17 W 0 0.3 1 2 0 1 4
@ TEX 05-13 L 0 3.0 9 2 5 0 0
@ CHC 05-03 L 0 2.3 7 4 1 3 2
@ MIL 04-30 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 0 1
vs SD 04-25 L 0 3.0 9 2 5 3 4

FAQ

What is Brandon Pfaadt's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Brandon Pfaadt for 2.1 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Brandon Pfaadt Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Brandon Pfaadt Over 1.5 earned runs is -155 at DraftKings, among 4 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -131.

How often has Brandon Pfaadt gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Brandon Pfaadt has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 42 of the last 62 games. The best price implies 61%.

What props does Brandon Pfaadt have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Brandon Pfaadt: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Brandon Pfaadt?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Brandon Pfaadt's game logs.