Luis Severino Earned Runs

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Luis Severino is projected for 3.2 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -160 at DraftKings, against a fair line of -152. He has cleared 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), versus the 62% the market implies.

Luis Severino projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game May 29

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

3.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 62%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 30%
Last 20: 35%
Last 41: 41%

line 2.5

2 @TOR

4 @ATL

2 @NYY

4 vs TEX

5 vs CWS

1 @TEX

1 vs KC

1 @PHI

2 @BAL

5 vs SF

2 @LAA

0 vs NYY

Projected range

projection 3.2

0.0 8.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -152

Fair odds -152
DraftKings -160
Onyx Odds -160
BetMGM -160
Pinnacle -187

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	W	IP	OUT	HIT	K	BB	R
vs NYY	05-30	L	0	1.0	3	3	1	0	0
@ LAA	05-22	W	0	7.0	21	3	10	0	2
vs SF	05-17	L	0	6.0	18	10	7	2	5
@ BAL	05-10	L	0	5.3	16	6	4	4	2
@ PHI	05-05	L	0	5.0	15	7	3	2	1
vs KC	04-30	W	1	7.0	21	4	8	2	1
@ TEX	04-25	W	1	6.7	20	6	5	1	1
vs CWS	04-18	W	0	5.3	16	5	3	4	5
vs TEX	04-14	L	0	6.0	18	6	7	3	4
@ NYY	04-08	W	0	5.0	15	4	7	5	2
@ ATL	04-01	L	0	3.3	10	4	7	5	4
@ TOR	03-27	L	0	5.0	15	3	3	3	2
vs HOU	09-25	W	1	6.3	19	3	5	1	0
@ PIT	09-19	W	1	5.0	15	7	3	1	1
vs CIN	09-14	W	0	5.0	15	6	2	2	5
@ LAA	09-07	L	0	5.0	15	4	7	1	3
@ STL	09-02	L	0	5.0	15	3	4	1	0
@ WSH	08-05	W	1	6.0	18	5	5	2	3
vs SEA	07-30	W	1	5.0	15	5	6	2	1
@ HOU	07-25	W	1	7.0	21	4	8	0	2
@ CLE	07-19	W	1	5.0	15	3	3	2	2
vs TOR	07-12	L	0	4.7	14	7	8	2	1
vs SF	07-06	L	0	4.3	13	5	2	2	5
@ NYY	06-29	L	0	3.7	11	5	3	3	5
@ DET	06-24	L	0	5.0	15	7	2	1	7

FAQ

Where can I find Luis Severino Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Luis Severino Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Luis Severino Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Luis Severino's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Luis Severino Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Luis Severino Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Luis Severino Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Luis Severino's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

Luis Severino Earned Runs

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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