Luis Severino Earned Runs

OPTIMAL projects Luis Severino for 3.2 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 2.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

The best price on Luis Severino Over 2.5 earned runs is -160 at DraftKings, among 4 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -152.

Luis Severino has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 1 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 7 of the last 20 and 17 of the last 41 games. The best price implies 62%.

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Luis Severino: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luis Severino's game logs.