Luis Severino Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Luis Severino

oak SP MLB

Luis Severino is projected for 4.8 strikeouts. The best price on Over 5.5 is +133 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +147. Luis Severino has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 43% the market implies.

Luis Severino projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Hits Allowed, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game May 29

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 5.5

4.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

market implies 43%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 41
34%
14 of 41
Last 12 games against a line of 5.5
line 5.5
3 @TOR
7 @ATL
7 @NYY
7 vs TEX
3 vs CWS
5 @TEX
8 vs KC
3 @PHI
4 @BAL
7 vs SF
10 @LAA
1 vs NYY

Projected range

projection 4.8
0.0 11.2

Most likely 3.0–6.7 Typical 1.4–8.3

Odds analysis

Over 5.5 · fair +147
  • Optimal +147
  • Pinnacle +133
  • DraftKings +118
  • Onyx Odds +118
  • BetMGM +105

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs NYY 05-30 L 0 1.0 3 3 1 0 0
@ LAA 05-22 W 0 7.0 21 3 10 0 2
vs SF 05-17 L 0 6.0 18 10 7 2 5
@ BAL 05-10 L 0 5.3 16 6 4 4 2
@ PHI 05-05 L 0 5.0 15 7 3 2 1
vs KC 04-30 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 2 1
@ TEX 04-25 W 1 6.7 20 6 5 1 1
vs CWS 04-18 W 0 5.3 16 5 3 4 5
vs TEX 04-14 L 0 6.0 18 6 7 3 4
@ NYY 04-08 W 0 5.0 15 4 7 5 2
@ ATL 04-01 L 0 3.3 10 4 7 5 4
@ TOR 03-27 L 0 5.0 15 3 3 3 2
vs HOU 09-25 W 1 6.3 19 3 5 1 0
@ PIT 09-19 W 1 5.0 15 7 3 1 1
vs CIN 09-14 W 0 5.0 15 6 2 2 5
@ LAA 09-07 L 0 5.0 15 4 7 1 3
@ STL 09-02 L 0 5.0 15 3 4 1 0
@ WSH 08-05 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 2 3
vs SEA 07-30 W 1 5.0 15 5 6 2 1
@ HOU 07-25 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 0 2
@ CLE 07-19 W 1 5.0 15 3 3 2 2
vs TOR 07-12 L 0 4.7 14 7 8 2 1
vs SF 07-06 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 2 5
@ NYY 06-29 L 0 3.7 11 5 3 3 5
@ DET 06-24 L 0 5.0 15 7 2 1 7

FAQ

What are Luis Severino's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Luis Severino for 4.8 strikeouts and 5.5 hits allowed. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 3.0 and 6.7, and four in five between 1.4 and 8.3.

What are the best odds on Luis Severino Over 5.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Luis Severino Over 5.5 strikeouts is +133 at Pinnacle, among 4 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +147.

How often has Luis Severino gone over 5.5 strikeouts?

Luis Severino has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in 2 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 14 of the last 41 games. The best price implies 43%.

What props does Luis Severino have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Luis Severino: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Luis Severino?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luis Severino's game logs.

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