Parker Messick Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Parker Messick Earned Runs

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Parker Messick is projected for 1.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -450 at Sportsbook Rhode Island. He has cleared 0.5 in 10 of his last 10 games (100%), versus the 82% the market implies.

Parker Messick projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 22

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

1.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 82%
Last 5
100%
5 of 5
Last 10
100%
10 of 10
Last 20
95%
19 of 20
Last 37
89%
33 of 37
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
1 @MIA
1 vs MIN
1 @TB
1 vs ARI
2 @CWS
2 @DET
1 vs SF
1 @LAA
1 vs KC
3 vs DET
1 @MIN
3 vs CWS

Projected range

projection 1.9
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -450
  • BetOnline -909
  • Kalshi -5268
  • Coinbase -5268

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs CWS 09-16 W 1 6.0 18 7 8 0 3
@ MIN 09-12 W 0 5.3 16 3 5 2 1
vs DET 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 7 12 2 3
vs KC 08-30 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 2 1
@ LAA 08-25 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
vs SF 08-19 L 0 6.7 20 6 10 0 1
@ DET 08-13 L 0 5.7 17 3 6 2 2
@ CWS 08-07 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 1 2
vs ARI 08-01 L 0 4.3 13 6 6 1 1
@ TB 07-26 L 0 7.7 23 6 6 0 1
vs MIN 07-21 W 0 5.7 17 4 6 0 1
@ MIA 07-10 W 1 6.0 18 1 1 4 1
vs CWS 07-04 L 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 1
vs TEX 06-29 L 0 6.7 20 8 5 0 4
@ CWS 06-23 L 0 7.7 23 3 10 1 2
@ MIL 06-18 W 1 6.0 18 4 9 3 2
vs NYY 06-10 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 4
@ TEX 06-06 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 1 3
vs BOS 05-30 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 1
@ PHI 05-24 W 1 5.7 17 5 6 2 0
@ DET 05-19 W 0 5.0 15 4 6 3 2
vs LAA 05-13 W 1 6.7 20 4 7 3 2
vs MIN 05-08 W 1 5.7 17 7 7 1 1
@ OAK 05-03 L 0 5.0 15 6 6 0 4
vs TB 04-27 L 0 5.7 17 3 9 2 1

FAQ

Where can I find Parker Messick Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Parker Messick Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Parker Messick Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Parker Messick's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Parker Messick Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Parker Messick Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Parker Messick Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Parker Messick's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.