Parker Messick Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Parker Messick Earned Runs

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Parker Messick is projected for 1.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -116 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -105. Parker Messick has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 54% the market implies.

Parker Messick projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Oct 18

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 54%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 43
47%
20 of 43
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 vs SF
1 @LAA
1 vs KC
3 vs DET
1 @MIN
3 vs CWS
1 @BOS
1 @KC
2 vs CWS
2 @CWS
0 @TB
2 vs TB

Projected range

projection 1.7
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -105
  • Optimal -105
  • Pinnacle -116
  • Polymarket US -116
  • Dabble -122
  • Splash Sports -137
  • Sleeper -141

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TB 10-18 L 0 2.0 6 5 3 2 2
@ TB 10-14 L 0 5.0 15 6 3 2 0
@ CWS 10-09 W 0 2.3 7 2 5 4 2
vs CWS 10-03 L 0 4.3 13 4 6 2 2
@ KC 09-27 L 0 3.0 9 6 2 1 1
@ BOS 09-22 W 0 5.0 15 5 5 1 1
vs CWS 09-16 W 1 6.0 18 7 8 0 3
@ MIN 09-12 W 0 5.3 16 3 5 2 1
vs DET 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 7 12 2 3
vs KC 08-30 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 2 1
@ LAA 08-25 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
vs SF 08-19 L 0 6.7 20 6 10 0 1
@ DET 08-13 L 0 5.7 17 3 6 2 2
@ CWS 08-07 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 1 2
vs ARI 08-01 L 0 4.3 13 6 6 1 1
@ TB 07-26 L 0 7.7 23 6 6 0 1
vs MIN 07-21 W 0 5.7 17 4 6 0 1
@ MIA 07-10 W 1 6.0 18 1 1 4 1
vs CWS 07-04 L 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 1
vs TEX 06-29 L 0 6.7 20 8 5 0 4
@ CWS 06-23 L 0 7.7 23 3 10 1 2
@ MIL 06-18 W 1 6.0 18 4 9 3 2
vs NYY 06-10 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 4
@ TEX 06-06 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 1 3
vs BOS 05-30 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 1

FAQ

What is Parker Messick's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Parker Messick for 1.7 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Parker Messick Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Parker Messick Over 1.5 earned runs is -116 at Pinnacle, among 5 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -105.

How often has Parker Messick gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Parker Messick has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 8 of the last 20 and 20 of the last 43 games. The best price implies 54%.

What props does Parker Messick have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Parker Messick: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Parker Messick?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Parker Messick's game logs.

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