Parker Messick Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Parker Messick

cle SP MLB

Parker Messick is projected for 4.6 strikeouts. The best price on Over 4.5 is -126 at Polymarket US, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -115. Parker Messick has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 56% the market implies.

Parker Messick projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Hits Allowed, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Oct 18

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 4.5

4.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 56%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
70%
14 of 20
Last 43
70%
30 of 43
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
10 vs SF
4 @LAA
5 vs KC
12 vs DET
5 @MIN
8 vs CWS
5 @BOS
2 @KC
6 vs CWS
5 @CWS
3 @TB
3 vs TB

Projected range

projection 4.6
0.0 10.6

Most likely 2.8–6.3 Typical 1.3–7.9

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair -115
  • Optimal -115
  • Polymarket US -126
  • Pinnacle -127
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -135
  • Sleeper -149
  • DraftKings Pick6 -157
  • Dabble -157

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TB 10-18 L 0 2.0 6 5 3 2 2
@ TB 10-14 L 0 5.0 15 6 3 2 0
@ CWS 10-09 W 0 2.3 7 2 5 4 2
vs CWS 10-03 L 0 4.3 13 4 6 2 2
@ KC 09-27 L 0 3.0 9 6 2 1 1
@ BOS 09-22 W 0 5.0 15 5 5 1 1
vs CWS 09-16 W 1 6.0 18 7 8 0 3
@ MIN 09-12 W 0 5.3 16 3 5 2 1
vs DET 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 7 12 2 3
vs KC 08-30 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 2 1
@ LAA 08-25 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
vs SF 08-19 L 0 6.7 20 6 10 0 1
@ DET 08-13 L 0 5.7 17 3 6 2 2
@ CWS 08-07 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 1 2
vs ARI 08-01 L 0 4.3 13 6 6 1 1
@ TB 07-26 L 0 7.7 23 6 6 0 1
vs MIN 07-21 W 0 5.7 17 4 6 0 1
@ MIA 07-10 W 1 6.0 18 1 1 4 1
vs CWS 07-04 L 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 1
vs TEX 06-29 L 0 6.7 20 8 5 0 4
@ CWS 06-23 L 0 7.7 23 3 10 1 2
@ MIL 06-18 W 1 6.0 18 4 9 3 2
vs NYY 06-10 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 4
@ TEX 06-06 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 1 3
vs BOS 05-30 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 1

FAQ

What are Parker Messick's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Parker Messick for 4.6 strikeouts, 15.1 outs and 4.5 hits allowed. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 2.8 and 6.3, and four in five between 1.3 and 7.9.

What are the best odds on Parker Messick Over 4.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Parker Messick Over 4.5 strikeouts is -126 at Polymarket US, among 6 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -115.

How often has Parker Messick gone over 4.5 strikeouts?

Parker Messick has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 2 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 14 of the last 20 and 30 of the last 43 games. The best price implies 56%.

What props does Parker Messick have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Parker Messick: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Parker Messick?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Parker Messick's game logs.

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