Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs

cin RP MLB

Caleb Ferguson is projected for 0.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +166 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +193. He has cleared 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 38% the market implies.

Caleb Ferguson projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 28

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 38%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 35
34%
12 of 35
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs CLE
2 vs PIT
0 vs PIT
0 @NYY
0 vs COL
1 vs PHI
0 vs PHI
1 @CHC
2 @PHI
1 vs BAL
3 vs BAL
0 vs PIT

Projected range

projection 0.4
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +193
  • Fair odds +193
  • Pinnacle +166

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs PIT 08-29 W 0 0.3 1 1 0 0 0
vs BAL 08-27 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 1 3
vs BAL 08-25 L 0 1.7 5 2 3 0 1
@ PHI 08-21 L 0 1.3 4 2 1 1 2
@ CHC 08-16 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
vs PHI 08-11 W 0 0.0 0 0 0 3 0
vs PHI 08-10 L 0 0.0 0 1 0 3 1
vs COL 08-08 W 0 1.3 4 1 2 0 0
@ NYY 08-04 L 0 1.7 5 1 1 0 0
vs PIT 08-01 L 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
vs PIT 07-31 W 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 2
vs CLE 07-29 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs CLE 07-28 W 0 1.7 5 1 1 1 0
@ STL 07-25 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 1 0
@ SEA 07-21 L 0 0.7 2 3 1 1 2
@ COL 07-18 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 1 2
vs CHC 07-11 L 0 0.7 2 2 0 0 1
vs PHI 07-08 W 0 1.0 3 0 1 1 0
vs PHI 07-07 L 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 1
vs BAL 07-03 L 0 1.3 4 1 1 0 0
@ MIL 06-30 L 0 0.7 2 1 1 1 0
@ PIT 06-27 W 1 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
@ PIT 06-26 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
vs MIL 06-23 L 0 0.7 2 1 0 0 0
@ NYY 06-21 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Caleb Ferguson's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Caleb Ferguson's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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