Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Caleb Ferguson Earned Runs

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Caleb Ferguson is projected for 0.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +166 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +193. Caleb Ferguson has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 38% the market implies.

Caleb Ferguson projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 28

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 38%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 35
34%
12 of 35
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs CLE
2 vs PIT
0 vs PIT
0 @NYY
0 vs COL
1 vs PHI
0 vs PHI
1 @CHC
2 @PHI
1 vs BAL
3 vs BAL
0 vs PIT

Projected range

projection 0.4
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +193
  • Optimal +193
  • Pinnacle +166

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs PIT 08-29 W 0 0.3 1 1 0 0 0
vs BAL 08-27 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 1 3
vs BAL 08-25 L 0 1.7 5 2 3 0 1
@ PHI 08-21 L 0 1.3 4 2 1 1 2
@ CHC 08-16 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
vs PHI 08-11 W 0 0.0 0 0 0 3 0
vs PHI 08-10 L 0 0.0 0 1 0 3 1
vs COL 08-08 W 0 1.3 4 1 2 0 0
@ NYY 08-04 L 0 1.7 5 1 1 0 0
vs PIT 08-01 L 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
vs PIT 07-31 W 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 2
vs CLE 07-29 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs CLE 07-28 W 0 1.7 5 1 1 1 0
@ STL 07-25 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 1 0
@ SEA 07-21 L 0 0.7 2 3 1 1 2
@ COL 07-18 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 1 2
vs CHC 07-11 L 0 0.7 2 2 0 0 1
vs PHI 07-08 W 0 1.0 3 0 1 1 0
vs PHI 07-07 L 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 1
vs BAL 07-03 L 0 1.3 4 1 1 0 0
@ MIL 06-30 L 0 0.7 2 1 1 1 0
@ PIT 06-27 W 1 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
@ PIT 06-26 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
vs MIL 06-23 L 0 0.7 2 1 0 0 0
@ NYY 06-21 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Caleb Ferguson's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Caleb Ferguson for 0.4 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

What are the best odds on Caleb Ferguson Over 0.5 earned runs?

The best price on Caleb Ferguson Over 0.5 earned runs is +166 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +193.

How often has Caleb Ferguson gone over 0.5 earned runs?

Caleb Ferguson has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 12 of the last 35 games. The best price implies 38%.

What props does Caleb Ferguson have?

Sportsbooks have posted 3 props for Caleb Ferguson: strikeouts, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Caleb Ferguson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Caleb Ferguson's game logs.

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