Clay Holmes Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Clay Holmes Earned Runs

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Clay Holmes is projected for 1.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -105 at BetMGM, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +109. Clay Holmes has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Clay Holmes projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 25

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 51
57%
29 of 51
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 @LAA
2 @ARI
4 vs NYY
4 @KC
0 vs STL
1 vs CWS
0 @ARI
0 vs MIL
8 @MIA
2 vs PIT
6 @CIN
2 @BOS

Projected range

projection 1.6
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +109
  • Optimal +109
  • BetMGM -105
  • Courtside -121

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ BOS 09-25 L 0 4.3 13 5 3 3 2
@ CIN 09-18 L 0 5.3 16 3 4 5 6
vs PIT 09-12 W 0 5.7 17 5 6 4 2
@ MIA 09-06 L 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 8
vs MIL 08-31 W 1 6.0 18 5 8 2 0
@ ARI 08-26 L 0 7.0 21 2 5 2 0
vs CWS 08-19 L 0 5.3 16 6 1 2 1
vs STL 08-14 W 1 6.7 20 1 3 1 0
@ KC 08-08 L 0 4.0 12 6 1 2 4
vs NYY 05-15 L 0 4.3 13 7 8 2 4
@ ARI 05-09 L 0 5.7 17 5 6 2 2
@ LAA 05-03 W 1 6.7 20 4 6 3 1
vs WSH 04-28 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 1 0
vs MIN 04-22 W 0 7.0 21 5 3 1 2
@ LAD 04-16 L 0 5.0 15 4 4 1 2
vs OAK 04-10 L 0 5.3 16 5 3 3 1
@ SF 04-05 W 1 7.0 21 3 4 2 0
@ STL 03-30 W 1 5.7 17 4 5 3 2
@ MIA 09-27 W 1 6.0 18 1 2 3 0
@ CHC 09-25 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0
vs WSH 09-21 L 0 3.7 11 4 3 0 0
vs SD 09-16 W 0 4.0 12 3 2 1 2
@ PHI 09-10 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 3 4
@ DET 09-03 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 3 2
vs MIA 08-28 L 0 5.0 15 5 2 1 2

FAQ

What is Clay Holmes's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Clay Holmes for 1.6 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Clay Holmes Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Clay Holmes Over 1.5 earned runs is -105 at BetMGM, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +109.

How often has Clay Holmes gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Clay Holmes has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 29 of the last 51 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Clay Holmes have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Clay Holmes: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Clay Holmes?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Clay Holmes's game logs.

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