Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Brian Thomas Jr. Receptions

jax WR NFL

Brian Thomas Jr. is projected for 1.2 receptions. The best price on Over 1.5 is +126 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +139. Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 1.5 receptions in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 44% the market implies.

Brian Thomas Jr. projections and betting odds for Receptions. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 5

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 1.5

1.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 44%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 40
85%
34 of 40
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 @DEN
4 @IND
3 vs TEN
2 vs BUF
3 vs CLE
3 @DEN
1 vs NE
2 @CIN
0 vs PHI
0 vs HOU
1 vs IND
0 @BAL

Projected range

projection 1.2
0.0 4.9

Most likely 0.1–2.3 Typical 0.0–3.2

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +139
  • Optimal +139
  • Pinnacle +126

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
@ BAL 11-06 W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs IND 11-01 W 0 0 0 1 2 12 1 1 0
vs HOU 10-18 L 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
vs PHI 10-11 W 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
@ CIN 10-04 W 0 0 0 2 2 17 1 1 0
vs NE 09-27 W 0 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0
@ DEN 09-20 L 0 0 0 3 8 40 0 0 0
vs CLE 09-13 W 0 0 0 3 3 40 0 0 1
vs BUF 01-11 L 0 0 0 2 2 21 1 1 0
vs TEN 01-04 W 0 0 0 3 5 49 0 0 0
@ IND 12-28 W 0 0 0 4 7 39 0 0 0
@ DEN 12-21 W 0 0 0 2 3 18 0 0 0
vs NYJ 12-14 W 1 5 0 4 7 66 1 1 0
vs IND 12-07 W 0 0 0 3 6 87 0 0 0
@ TEN 11-30 W 0 0 0 2 3 28 0 0 0
@ OAK 11-02 W 0 0 0 3 5 55 0 0 0
vs LAR 10-19 L 0 0 0 3 7 31 0 0 0
vs SEA 10-12 L 0 0 0 8 10 90 1 1 0
vs KC 10-07 W 0 0 0 4 6 80 0 0 0
@ SF 09-28 W 1 7 0 5 7 49 0 0 0
vs HOU 09-21 W 0 0 0 2 6 55 0 0 0
@ CIN 09-14 L 0 0 0 4 12 49 0 0 0
vs CAR 09-07 W 1 9 1 1 7 11 0 1 0
@ IND 01-05 L 0 0 0 7 11 103 0 0 0
vs TEN 12-29 W 1 18 0 7 10 91 1 1 0

FAQ

What is Brian Thomas Jr.'s receptions projection?

OPTIMAL projects Brian Thomas Jr. for 1.2 receptions. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 0.1 and 2.3, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.2.

What are the best odds on Brian Thomas Jr. Over 1.5 receptions?

The best price on Brian Thomas Jr. Over 1.5 receptions is +126 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +139.

How often has Brian Thomas Jr. gone over 1.5 receptions?

Brian Thomas Jr. has gone over 1.5 receptions in 1 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 15 of the last 20 and 34 of the last 40 games. The best price implies 44%.

What props does Brian Thomas Jr. have?

Sportsbooks have posted 3 props for Brian Thomas Jr.: receptions, receiving yards and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Brian Thomas Jr.?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Brian Thomas Jr.'s game logs.

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