Luther Burden III Receptions Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Luther Burden III Receptions

chi WR NFL

Luther Burden III is projected for 5.0 receptions against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Nov 8. The best price on Over 4.5 is -133 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -130. Luther Burden III has gone over 4.5 receptions in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 57% the market implies.

Luther Burden III projections and betting odds for Receptions. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 4.5

5.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 57%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 25
24%
6 of 25
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
8 @SF
3 vs DET
3 vs GB
3 vs LAR
5 @CAR
3 vs MIN
7 vs PHI
4 vs NYJ
4 @GB
8 @ATL
4 vs NE
7 @SEA

Projected range

projection 5.0
0.0 11.5

Most likely 3.1–6.9 Typical 1.4–8.6

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair -130
  • Optimal -130
  • Novig -133
  • Kalshi -137
  • Coinbase -137
  • Splash Sports -137
  • ProphetX -137
  • Polymarket US -140
  • BetOnline -143
  • Caesars -148
  • DraftKings -149
  • Onyx Odds -149
  • Courtside -149
  • Rebet -154
  • BetMGM -155
  • bet365 -155
  • Fanduel -158
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -160
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -160
  • Fliff -160
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -160
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -162
  • BetRivers -165
  • SugarHouse -165
  • betPARX -165
  • Bally Bet -165
  • Sleeper -172
  • ParlayPlay -182
  • Dabble -365

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
@ SEA 11-03 W 0 0 0 7 9 56 1 1 0
vs NE 10-23 W 1 7 0 4 4 130 1 1 0
@ ATL 10-18 W 0 0 0 8 8 95 0 0 0
@ GB 10-11 L 4 2 0 4 6 47 0 0 0
vs NYJ 10-04 W 1 11 0 4 6 63 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-29 W 1 7 0 7 11 61 1 1 0
vs MIN 09-20 L 0 0 0 3 7 32 0 0 0
@ CAR 09-13 W 1 2 0 5 5 63 0 0 1
vs LAR 01-18 L 1 0 0 3 7 24 0 0 0
vs GB 01-11 W 1 -4 0 3 7 42 0 0 0
vs DET 01-04 L 1 10 0 3 4 35 0 0 0
@ SF 12-29 L 0 0 0 8 9 138 1 1 0
vs CLE 12-14 W 0 0 0 6 7 84 0 0 0
@ GB 12-07 L 1 3 0 4 6 67 0 0 0
@ PHI 11-28 W 1 3 0 4 6 33 0 0 0
vs PIT 11-23 W 1 15 0 3 5 46 0 0 0
@ MIN 11-16 W 0 0 0 3 5 27 0 0 0
vs NYG 11-09 W 0 0 0 3 3 51 0 0 0
@ BAL 10-26 L 0 0 0 1 1 -1 0 0 0
vs NO 10-19 W 1 -1 0 1 2 22 0 0 0
@ WAS 10-14 W 0 0 0 4 4 51 0 0 0
@ OAK 09-28 W 0 0 0 2 2 -4 0 0 0
vs DAL 09-21 W 1 7 0 3 3 101 1 1 0
@ DET 09-14 L 0 0 0 1 2 5 0 0 0
vs MIN 09-09 L 0 0 0 1 1 -3 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Luther Burden III's receptions projection for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Luther Burden III for 5.0 receptions against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 3.1 and 6.9, and four in five between 1.4 and 8.6.

What are the best odds on Luther Burden III Over 4.5 receptions?

The best price on Luther Burden III Over 4.5 receptions is -133 at Novig, among 27 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -130.

How often has Luther Burden III gone over 4.5 receptions?

Luther Burden III has gone over 4.5 receptions in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 6 of the last 20 and 6 of the last 25 games. The best price implies 57%.

What props does Luther Burden III have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 8 props for Luther Burden III against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Nov 8: rushing yards, receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost, rushing + receiving yards and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Luther Burden III?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luther Burden III's game logs.

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