Dawson Knox

buf TE NFL

Dawson Knox is projected for 1.0 receptions against the Minnesota Vikings on Nov 9. The best price on Over 1.5 is +180 at BetMGM, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +180. Dawson Knox has gone over 1.5 receptions in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 36% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 10:08 AM ET

Dawson Knox projections and betting odds for Receptions, Receiving Targets, Receiving Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 9

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 1.5

1.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 36%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 45: 47%

line 1.5

1 @CLE

5 vs PHI

2 vs NYJ

3 @JAX

3 @DEN

1 @HOU

2 vs DET

1 vs LAC

2 vs NE

1 @LAR

1 @OAK

1 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 1.0

0.0 5.4

Most likely 0.0–2.2 Typical 0.0–3.4

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +180

BetMGM +180
Optimal +180
DraftKings +171
Onyx Odds +171
Courtside +171
Bally Bet +170
betPARX +170
bet365 +170
BetOnline +167
Novig +167
Pinnacle +166
BetRivers +165
SugarHouse +165
Fanduel +162
ProphetX +161
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +160
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +160
Fanatics +160
Caesars +160
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +160
Kalshi +152
Coinbase +152
ParlayPlay +151
Fliff +150
Polymarket US +149
Underdog +146
Rebet +145
Sleeper +138
Sportsbook Rhode Island +128

Receiving Targets O/U 1.5

1.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 75%
Last 45: 71%

line 1.5

2 @CLE

5 vs PHI

2 vs NYJ

3 @JAX

5 @DEN

1 @HOU

2 vs DET

1 vs LAC

2 vs NE

3 @LAR

1 @OAK

2 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 1.5

0.0 6.2

Most likely 0.2–2.8 Typical 0.0–4.1

Receiving Yards O/U 7.5

15.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 7.5

market implies 52%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 70%
Last 45: 60%

line 7.5

10 @CLE

30 vs PHI

24 vs NYJ

30 @JAX

32 @DEN

7 @HOU

5 vs DET

5 vs LAC

13 vs NE

6 @LAR

0 @OAK

6 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 15.0

0.0 90.6

Most likely 0.5–21.7 Typical 0.0–41.5

Odds analysis

Over 7.5 · fair -102

Optimal -102
Pinnacle -110
Novig -113
DraftKings -114
Onyx Odds -114
Courtside -114
Fanduel -114
ProphetX -114
Underdog Fantasy -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Caesars -115
BetMGM -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
BetOnline -116
PrizePicks -120
Fliff -120
betr -120
ParlayPlay -125
Rebet -127
Sleeper -130

Receiving Touchdowns O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 45: 11%

line 0.5

0 @CLE

0 vs PHI

1 vs NYJ

0 @JAX

0 @DEN

0 @HOU

1 vs DET

0 vs LAC

0 vs NE

0 @LAR

0 @OAK

0 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 0.2

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Anytime TD O/U 0.5

0.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 11%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 45: 11%

line 0.5

0 @CLE

0 vs PHI

1 vs NYJ

0 @JAX

0 @DEN

0 @HOU

1 vs DET

0 vs LAC

0 vs NE

0 @LAR

0 @OAK

0 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 0.1

0.0 1.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +892

Optimal +892
BetMGM +825
Novig +809
ProphetX +801
DraftKings +800
Fanatics +800
Onyx Odds +800
Bally Bet +800
BetRivers +800
SugarHouse +800
betPARX +800
Courtside +800
Fanduel +750
Caesars +750
bet365 +750
BetOnline +750
Polymarket US +738
Polymarket +698
Rebet +680
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +650
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +650
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +650
Fliff +645
Sportsbook Rhode Island +550
ParlayPlay +496
Dabble +264

firstTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

Fliff +3510
Caesars +3500
Bally Bet +3500
BetRivers +3500
SugarHouse +3500
betPARX +3500
BetMGM +3500
Novig +3471
Kalshi +3021
Coinbase +3021
DraftKings +3000
Onyx Odds +3000
Polymarket US +2952
Fanatics +2800
Rebet +2800
ParlayPlay +1788
Sportsbook Rhode Island +1500
ProphetX +1435

lastTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

DraftKings +3500
Onyx Odds +3500
Bally Bet +3500
BetRivers +3500
SugarHouse +3500
betPARX +3500
Fliff +3370
ProphetX +3068
Caesars +3000
Fanatics +2800
Fanduel +2700
Sportsbook Rhode Island +1900

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	ATT	YDS	TDS	REC	TGT	YDS	TDS	Any TD	FM
vs BAL	11-01	W	0	0	0	1	2	6	0	0	0
@ OAK	10-18	W	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
@ LAR	10-13	W	0	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	0
vs NE	10-04	L	0	0	0	2	2	13	0	0	0
vs LAC	09-27	W	1	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0
vs DET	09-18	W	0	0	0	2	2	5	1	1	0
@ HOU	09-13	W	0	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0
@ DEN	01-17	L	0	0	0	3	5	32	0	0	0
@ JAX	01-11	W	0	0	0	3	3	30	0	0	0
vs NYJ	01-04	W	0	0	0	2	2	24	1	1	0
vs PHI	12-28	L	0	0	0	5	5	30	0	0	0
@ CLE	12-21	W	0	0	0	1	2	10	0	0	0
@ NE	12-14	W	0	0	0	3	4	37	2	2	0
vs CIN	12-07	W	0	0	0	6	7	93	0	0	0
@ PIT	11-30	W	0	0	0	3	4	28	0	0	0
@ HOU	11-21	L	0	0	0	3	4	17	0	0	0
vs TB	11-16	W	0	0	0	1	3	23	0	0	0
@ MIA	11-09	L	0	0	0	3	4	37	0	0	0
vs KC	11-02	W	0	0	0	1	1	30	0	0	0
@ CAR	10-26	W	0	0	0	1	1	15	0	0	0
@ ATL	10-13	L	0	0	0	1	2	19	1	1	0
vs NE	10-06	L	0	0	0	2	2	15	0	0	0
vs NO	09-28	W	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
vs MIA	09-19	W	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
@ NYJ	09-14	W	0	0	0	2	5	19	0	0	0

FAQ

What are Dawson Knox's projections for Nov 9?

OPTIMAL projects Dawson Knox for 1.0 receptions and 15.0 receiving yards against the Minnesota Vikings on Nov 9. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 0.0 and 2.2, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.4.

What are the best odds on Dawson Knox Over 1.5 receptions?

The best price on Dawson Knox Over 1.5 receptions is +180 at BetMGM, among 28 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +180.

How often has Dawson Knox gone over 1.5 receptions?

Dawson Knox has gone over 1.5 receptions in 1 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 21 of the last 45 games. The best price implies 36%.

What props does Dawson Knox have for Nov 9?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Dawson Knox against the Minnesota Vikings on Nov 9: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Dawson Knox?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Dawson Knox's game logs.