Josh Downs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Josh Downs

ind WR NFL

Josh Downs is projected for 4.0 receptions against the Dallas Cowboys on Nov 8. The best price on Over 4.5 is +144 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +148. Josh Downs has gone over 4.5 receptions in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 41% the market implies.

Josh Downs projections and betting odds for Receptions, Receiving Targets, Receiving Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 4.5

4.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 41%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 38
37%
14 of 38
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
3 @SEA
5 vs SF
2 vs JAX
4 @HOU
2 vs BAL
7 @KC
5 vs HOU
3 @WAS
3 @PIT
4 vs TEN
2 @MIN
4 @JAX

Projected range

projection 4.0
0.0 10.4

Most likely 2.2–5.9 Typical 0.6–7.5

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair +148
  • Optimal +148
  • Novig +144
  • Pinnacle +136
  • Kalshi +134
  • Coinbase +134
  • BetOnline +132
  • ProphetX +132
  • Fanduel +130
  • bet365 +130
  • Caesars +129
  • BetRivers +128
  • SugarHouse +128
  • Bally Bet +128
  • betPARX +128
  • Courtside +128
  • DraftKings +128
  • Onyx Odds +128
  • Polymarket US +126
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +125
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +125
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +125
  • Rebet +117
  • ParlayPlay +117
  • Dabble -157

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
@ JAX 11-01 L 0 0 0 4 5 23 1 1 0
@ MIN 10-25 L 0 0 0 2 4 18 0 0 0
vs TEN 10-18 L 1 7 0 4 8 40 0 0 0
@ PIT 10-11 L 0 0 0 3 6 47 0 0 0
@ WAS 10-04 W 0 0 0 3 4 16 0 0 0
vs HOU 09-27 W 0 0 0 5 11 77 0 0 0
@ KC 09-21 L 0 0 0 7 9 72 0 0 0
vs BAL 09-13 L 0 0 0 2 4 37 0 0 0
@ HOU 01-04 L 1 -5 0 4 4 61 0 0 0
vs JAX 12-28 L 0 0 0 2 5 34 0 0 0
vs SF 12-23 L 1 3 0 5 9 65 0 0 0
@ SEA 12-14 L 0 0 0 3 5 13 1 1 0
@ JAX 12-07 L 0 0 0 4 5 23 0 0 0
vs HOU 11-30 L 0 0 0 2 6 44 0 0 0
@ KC 11-23 L 0 0 0 2 6 10 0 0 0
vs ATL 11-09 W 0 0 0 1 2 3 0 0 0
@ PIT 11-02 L 0 0 0 6 9 57 1 1 1
vs TEN 10-26 W 0 0 0 3 3 39 1 1 0
vs ARI 10-12 W 0 0 0 6 7 42 1 1 0
vs OAK 10-05 W 0 0 0 6 8 54 0 0 0
@ LAR 09-28 L 0 0 0 4 5 24 0 0 0
@ TEN 09-21 W 0 0 0 2 3 34 0 0 0
vs DEN 09-14 W 0 0 0 6 8 51 0 0 0
vs MIA 09-07 W 0 0 0 2 3 12 0 0 0
vs JAX 01-05 W 0 0 0 10 13 94 0 0 0

FAQ

What are Josh Downs's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Josh Downs for 4.0 receptions and 50.4 receiving yards against the Dallas Cowboys on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 2.2 and 5.9, and four in five between 0.6 and 7.5.

What are the best odds on Josh Downs Over 4.5 receptions?

The best price on Josh Downs Over 4.5 receptions is +144 at Novig, among 23 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +148.

How often has Josh Downs gone over 4.5 receptions?

Josh Downs has gone over 4.5 receptions in 0 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 6 of the last 20 and 14 of the last 38 games. The best price implies 41%.

What props does Josh Downs have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Josh Downs against the Dallas Cowboys on Nov 8: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, rushing + receiving yards and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Josh Downs?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Josh Downs's game logs.

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