Hagen Smith Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL

Hagen Smith Earned Runs

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Hagen Smith is projected for 0.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +170 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +191. Hagen Smith has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 10 games (30%), versus the 37% the market implies.

Hagen Smith projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Oct 8

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 37%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
20%
4 of 20
Last 22
18%
4 of 22
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs PIT
0 @STL
0 @CLE
2 @CLE
0 vs DET
0 vs DET
1 @KC
0 vs COL
0 @HOU
0 @CLE
1 vs CLE
0 vs CLE

Projected range

projection 0.5
0.0 3.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +191
  • Optimal +191
  • Novig +170
  • Onyx Odds +169
  • DraftKings +169
  • Courtside +169
  • Polymarket US +166
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +152
  • ProphetX +151
  • Underdog +150
  • BetMGM +150
  • Fanatics +145
  • Sleeper +140

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs CLE 10-09 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 3 0
vs CLE 10-07 L 0 0.7 2 1 1 2 1
@ CLE 10-03 W 0 2.7 8 0 4 3 0
@ HOU 09-29 W 0 3.0 9 2 1 0 0
vs COL 09-25 W 0 0.7 2 0 1 1 0
@ KC 09-23 L 0 2.0 6 2 2 0 1
vs DET 09-20 W 0 0.7 2 0 1 2 0
vs DET 09-18 L 0 1.0 3 0 3 1 0
@ CLE 09-16 L 0 1.7 5 1 2 2 2
@ CLE 09-14 W 0 2.0 6 1 3 0 0
@ STL 09-12 W 0 2.0 6 0 3 0 0
vs PIT 09-10 L 0 2.0 6 2 3 0 0
vs MIN 09-06 W 1 3.0 9 0 4 0 0
vs MIN 09-04 W 0 2.0 6 2 3 0 0
@ MIN 08-29 W 0 1.3 4 1 2 1 0
vs TEX 08-25 W 0 1.7 5 1 1 3 0
vs NYM 08-23 W 0 2.0 6 0 3 0 0
vs ATL 08-20 L 0 1.3 4 0 3 0 0
@ CHC 08-18 L 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 1
@ DET 08-16 W 1 1.7 5 0 1 1 0
vs CIN 08-12 W 0 1.0 3 0 3 1 0
vs CLE 08-09 W 1 2.0 6 0 3 4 0

FAQ

What is Hagen Smith's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Hagen Smith for 0.5 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

What are the best odds on Hagen Smith Over 0.5 earned runs?

The best price on Hagen Smith Over 0.5 earned runs is +170 at Novig, among 11 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +191.

How often has Hagen Smith gone over 0.5 earned runs?

Hagen Smith has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 1 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 4 of the last 20 and 4 of the last 22 games. The best price implies 37%.

What props does Hagen Smith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Hagen Smith: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Hagen Smith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Hagen Smith's game logs.