Hagen Smith Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Hagen Smith Earned Runs

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Hagen Smith is projected for 0.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +114 at Kalshi. He has cleared 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games (10%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Hagen Smith projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 10

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 47%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
10%
1 of 10
Last 20
13%
2 of 16
Last 16
13%
2 of 16
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs ATL
0 vs NYM
0 vs TEX
0 @MIN
0 vs MIN
0 vs MIN
0 vs PIT
0 @STL
0 @CLE
2 @CLE
0 vs DET
0 vs DET

Projected range

projection 0.5
0.0 3.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi +114
  • Coinbase +114

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 09-20 W 0 0.7 2 0 1 2 0
vs DET 09-18 L 0 1.0 3 0 3 1 0
@ CLE 09-16 L 0 1.7 5 1 2 2 2
@ CLE 09-14 W 0 2.0 6 1 3 0 0
@ STL 09-12 W 0 2.0 6 0 3 0 0
vs PIT 09-10 L 0 2.0 6 2 3 0 0
vs MIN 09-06 W 1 3.0 9 0 4 0 0
vs MIN 09-04 W 0 2.0 6 2 3 0 0
@ MIN 08-29 W 0 1.3 4 1 2 1 0
vs TEX 08-25 W 0 1.7 5 1 1 3 0
vs NYM 08-23 W 0 2.0 6 0 3 0 0
vs ATL 08-20 L 0 1.3 4 0 3 0 0
@ CHC 08-18 L 0 0.0 0 1 0 0 1
@ DET 08-16 W 1 1.7 5 0 1 1 0
vs CIN 08-12 W 0 1.0 3 0 3 1 0
vs CLE 08-09 W 1 2.0 6 0 3 4 0

FAQ

Where can I find Hagen Smith Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Hagen Smith Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Hagen Smith Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Hagen Smith's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Hagen Smith Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Hagen Smith Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Hagen Smith Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Hagen Smith's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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