Hagen Smith Earned Runs
Hagen Smith is projected for 0.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +170 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +191. Hagen Smith has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 10 games (30%), versus the 37% the market implies.
Hagen Smith projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Earned Runs O/U 0.5
0.5projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 37%- Last 5
- 20% 1 of 5
- Last 10
- 30% 3 of 10
- Last 20
- 20% 4 of 20
- Last 22
- 18% 4 of 22
Projected range
projection 0.5Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair +191-
Optimal
+191
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Novig +170
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Onyx Odds +169
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DraftKings +169
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Courtside +169
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Polymarket US +166
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Sportsbook Rhode Island +152
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ProphetX +151
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Underdog +150
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BetMGM +150
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Fanatics +145
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Sleeper +140
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | W | IP | OUT | HIT | K | BB | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs CLE | 10-09 | L | 0 | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| vs CLE | 10-07 | L | 0 | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ CLE | 10-03 | W | 0 | 2.7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| @ HOU | 09-29 | W | 0 | 3.0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs COL | 09-25 | W | 0 | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ KC | 09-23 | L | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| vs DET | 09-20 | W | 0 | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| vs DET | 09-18 | L | 0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CLE | 09-16 | L | 0 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| @ CLE | 09-14 | W | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ STL | 09-12 | W | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PIT | 09-10 | L | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs MIN | 09-06 | W | 1 | 3.0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| vs MIN | 09-04 | W | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIN | 08-29 | W | 0 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| vs TEX | 08-25 | W | 0 | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| vs NYM | 08-23 | W | 0 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs ATL | 08-20 | L | 0 | 1.3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CHC | 08-18 | L | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ DET | 08-16 | W | 1 | 1.7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs CIN | 08-12 | W | 0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| vs CLE | 08-09 | W | 1 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
FAQ
What is Hagen Smith's earned runs projection?
OPTIMAL projects Hagen Smith for 0.5 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.
What are the best odds on Hagen Smith Over 0.5 earned runs?
The best price on Hagen Smith Over 0.5 earned runs is +170 at Novig, among 11 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +191.
How often has Hagen Smith gone over 0.5 earned runs?
Hagen Smith has gone over 0.5 earned runs in 1 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 4 of the last 20 and 4 of the last 22 games. The best price implies 37%.
What props does Hagen Smith have?
Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Hagen Smith: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Hagen Smith?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Hagen Smith's game logs.