Mitch Keller Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Mitch Keller Earned Runs

pit SP MLB

Mitch Keller is projected for 2.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -106 at DraftKings, against a fair line of +109. He has cleared 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Mitch Keller projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 2

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 54
50%
27 of 54
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @TOR
7 vs MIN
6 @ATL
5 vs LAD
4 @OAK
3 vs SEA
3 vs CIN
5 @WSH
3 vs ATL
0 @NYY
2 vs ARI
7 @CIN

Projected range

projection 2.6
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +109
  • Fair odds +109
  • DraftKings -106
  • Onyx Odds -106

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ CIN 08-02 L 0 2.0 6 6 2 4 7
vs ARI 07-27 W 0 5.3 16 6 4 1 2
@ NYY 07-22 W 0 5.0 15 3 6 2 0
vs ATL 07-09 L 0 3.0 9 4 3 2 3
@ WSH 07-03 L 0 6.0 18 8 1 0 5
vs CIN 06-28 W 1 6.0 18 5 4 1 3
vs SEA 06-23 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 1 3
@ OAK 06-17 W 0 5.3 16 5 7 4 4
vs LAD 06-11 L 0 4.0 12 7 3 4 5
@ ATL 06-05 L 0 4.7 14 7 4 3 6
vs MIN 05-30 W 0 4.0 12 10 5 1 7
@ TOR 05-24 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 3 1
@ STL 05-19 L 0 5.7 17 4 3 1 4
vs COL 05-13 L 0 5.7 17 7 3 1 6
@ ARI 05-07 W 1 6.0 18 4 4 2 2
vs CIN 05-01 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 1 1
@ MIL 04-25 W 0 5.0 15 5 6 2 3
vs TB 04-19 W 1 7.0 21 5 5 0 2
vs WSH 04-14 L 0 4.0 12 6 3 4 5
vs SD 04-08 L 0 6.0 18 3 4 1 0
vs BAL 04-03 W 1 6.0 18 6 4 4 2
@ NYM 03-28 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 0 0
@ ATL 09-26 W 0 3.7 11 3 6 5 1
vs OAK 09-19 L 0 5.0 15 4 4 1 4
@ WSH 09-12 L 0 5.3 16 4 4 1 2

FAQ

Where can I find Mitch Keller Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Mitch Keller Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Mitch Keller Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Mitch Keller's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Mitch Keller Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Mitch Keller Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Mitch Keller Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Mitch Keller's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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