Mitch Keller Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Mitch Keller Earned Runs

pit SP MLB

Mitch Keller is projected for 2.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -106 at DraftKings, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +109. Mitch Keller has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 8 of the last 10 games (80%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Mitch Keller projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 2

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 54
50%
27 of 54
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @TOR
7 vs MIN
6 @ATL
5 vs LAD
4 @OAK
3 vs SEA
3 vs CIN
5 @WSH
3 vs ATL
0 @NYY
2 vs ARI
7 @CIN

Projected range

projection 2.6
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +109
  • Optimal +109
  • DraftKings -106
  • Onyx Odds -106

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ CIN 08-02 L 0 2.0 6 6 2 4 7
vs ARI 07-27 W 0 5.3 16 6 4 1 2
@ NYY 07-22 W 0 5.0 15 3 6 2 0
vs ATL 07-09 L 0 3.0 9 4 3 2 3
@ WSH 07-03 L 0 6.0 18 8 1 0 5
vs CIN 06-28 W 1 6.0 18 5 4 1 3
vs SEA 06-23 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 1 3
@ OAK 06-17 W 0 5.3 16 5 7 4 4
vs LAD 06-11 L 0 4.0 12 7 3 4 5
@ ATL 06-05 L 0 4.7 14 7 4 3 6
vs MIN 05-30 W 0 4.0 12 10 5 1 7
@ TOR 05-24 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 3 1
@ STL 05-19 L 0 5.7 17 4 3 1 4
vs COL 05-13 L 0 5.7 17 7 3 1 6
@ ARI 05-07 W 1 6.0 18 4 4 2 2
vs CIN 05-01 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 1 1
@ MIL 04-25 W 0 5.0 15 5 6 2 3
vs TB 04-19 W 1 7.0 21 5 5 0 2
vs WSH 04-14 L 0 4.0 12 6 3 4 5
vs SD 04-08 L 0 6.0 18 3 4 1 0
vs BAL 04-03 W 1 6.0 18 6 4 4 2
@ NYM 03-28 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 0 0
@ ATL 09-26 W 0 3.7 11 3 6 5 1
vs OAK 09-19 L 0 5.0 15 4 4 1 4
@ WSH 09-12 L 0 5.3 16 4 4 1 2

FAQ

What is Mitch Keller's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Mitch Keller for 2.6 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Mitch Keller Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Mitch Keller Over 2.5 earned runs is -106 at DraftKings, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +109.

How often has Mitch Keller gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Mitch Keller has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 8 of the last 10, 13 of the last 20 and 27 of the last 54 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Mitch Keller have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Mitch Keller: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Mitch Keller?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Mitch Keller's game logs.

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