Shane Smith Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Shane Smith Earned Runs

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Shane Smith is projected for 2.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +124 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +143. He has cleared 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 45% the market implies.

Shane Smith projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Apr 7

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 45%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 32
38%
12 of 32
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
0 vs DET
4 @ATL
0 vs KC
2 vs NYY
4 @DET
0 vs TB
6 vs BAL
1 @NYY
0 @WSH
3 @MIL
7 @MIA
0 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 2.4
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +143
  • Fair odds +143
  • Pinnacle +124

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs BAL 04-07 L 0 3.7 11 1 8 5 0
@ MIA 04-01 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 2 7
@ MIL 03-26 L 0 1.7 5 3 2 2 3
@ WSH 09-28 W 1 6.0 18 1 8 0 0
@ NYY 09-23 L 0 5.0 15 5 8 4 1
vs BAL 09-16 L 0 4.3 13 9 7 1 6
vs TB 09-11 W 1 5.7 17 4 4 1 0
@ DET 09-05 W 1 5.0 15 3 6 2 4
vs NYY 08-30 L 0 6.3 19 3 7 2 2
vs KC 08-25 W 1 7.0 21 1 3 1 0
@ ATL 08-19 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 2 4
vs DET 08-13 L 0 5.0 15 2 5 3 0
@ SEA 08-07 L 0 5.0 15 4 8 1 2
@ LAA 08-02 W 0 4.3 13 2 4 4 2
vs CLE 07-11 L 0 3.0 9 2 5 0 2
@ COL 07-06 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 2 5
@ LAD 07-02 L 0 4.7 14 6 6 3 6
vs ARI 06-23 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 2 5
vs STL 06-17 L 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 5
@ HOU 06-11 W 1 6.0 18 7 4 2 1
vs DET 06-03 W 1 5.3 16 3 6 2 0
@ NYM 05-28 W 0 3.7 11 2 5 5 3
vs SEA 05-21 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 2 3
@ CHC 05-16 L 0 5.0 15 7 5 1 1
vs MIA 05-10 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Shane Smith Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Shane Smith Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Shane Smith Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Shane Smith's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Shane Smith Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Shane Smith Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Shane Smith Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Shane Smith's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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