Shane Smith Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Shane Smith Earned Runs

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Shane Smith is projected for 2.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +124 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +143. Shane Smith has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 45% the market implies.

Shane Smith projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Apr 7

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 45%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 32
38%
12 of 32
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
0 vs DET
4 @ATL
0 vs KC
2 vs NYY
4 @DET
0 vs TB
6 vs BAL
1 @NYY
0 @WSH
3 @MIL
7 @MIA
0 vs BAL

Projected range

projection 2.4
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +143
  • Optimal +143
  • Pinnacle +124

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs BAL 04-07 L 0 3.7 11 1 8 5 0
@ MIA 04-01 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 2 7
@ MIL 03-26 L 0 1.7 5 3 2 2 3
@ WSH 09-28 W 1 6.0 18 1 8 0 0
@ NYY 09-23 L 0 5.0 15 5 8 4 1
vs BAL 09-16 L 0 4.3 13 9 7 1 6
vs TB 09-11 W 1 5.7 17 4 4 1 0
@ DET 09-05 W 1 5.0 15 3 6 2 4
vs NYY 08-30 L 0 6.3 19 3 7 2 2
vs KC 08-25 W 1 7.0 21 1 3 1 0
@ ATL 08-19 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 2 4
vs DET 08-13 L 0 5.0 15 2 5 3 0
@ SEA 08-07 L 0 5.0 15 4 8 1 2
@ LAA 08-02 W 0 4.3 13 2 4 4 2
vs CLE 07-11 L 0 3.0 9 2 5 0 2
@ COL 07-06 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 2 5
@ LAD 07-02 L 0 4.7 14 6 6 3 6
vs ARI 06-23 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 2 5
vs STL 06-17 L 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 5
@ HOU 06-11 W 1 6.0 18 7 4 2 1
vs DET 06-03 W 1 5.3 16 3 6 2 0
@ NYM 05-28 W 0 3.7 11 2 5 5 3
vs SEA 05-21 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 2 3
@ CHC 05-16 L 0 5.0 15 7 5 1 1
vs MIA 05-10 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 0 0

FAQ

What is Shane Smith's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Shane Smith for 2.4 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Shane Smith Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Shane Smith Over 2.5 earned runs is +124 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +143.

How often has Shane Smith gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Shane Smith has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 12 of the last 32 games. The best price implies 45%.

What props does Shane Smith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Shane Smith: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Shane Smith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Shane Smith's game logs.

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