Willson Contreras Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Willson Contreras

bos 1B MLB

Willson Contreras is projected for 0.2 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +502 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +603. Willson Contreras has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 17% the market implies.

Willson Contreras projections and betting odds for Home Runs, Total Bases. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 30

Props & Odds

Home Runs O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 17%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
20%
4 of 20
Last 200
19%
38 of 200
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @MIA
0 @NYY
0 @NYY
0 @NYY
0 @NYY
0 vs KC
0 @TEX
1 @TEX
0 @TEX
0 vs CHC
0 @NYY
1 @NYY

Projected range

projection 0.2
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +603
  • Optimal +603
  • Pinnacle +502

Recent games

Opp Date W/L AB R HIT 1B 2B 3B HR TB H+R+R BB RBI SB
@ NYY 10-01 L 2 1 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 2 1 0
@ NYY 09-30 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CHC 09-27 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ TEX 09-18 W 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ TEX 09-17 L 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 2 0
@ TEX 09-16 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs KC 09-13 W 3 1 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 0 0
@ NYY 08-30 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NYY 08-29 L 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 2 1 0
@ NYY 08-29 W 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NYY 08-28 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ MIA 08-25 W 5 1 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0
@ MIA 08-24 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 08-23 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 08-22 W 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs SF 08-21 W 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 5 2 3 0
vs ARI 08-19 L 5 1 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 1 0
vs ARI 08-18 W 4 1 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 1 1 0
vs ARI 08-17 W 4 2 2 0 1 0 1 6 5 1 1 0
@ PIT 08-15 W 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ PIT 08-14 L 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ TOR 08-13 W 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 0
@ TOR 08-12 L 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 1 1 0
@ TOR 08-11 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ TOR 08-10 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

FAQ

What are Willson Contreras's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Willson Contreras for 0.2 home runs and 0.9 total bases. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

What are the best odds on Willson Contreras Over 0.5 home runs?

The best price on Willson Contreras Over 0.5 home runs is +502 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +603.

How often has Willson Contreras gone over 0.5 home runs?

Willson Contreras has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 4 of the last 20 and 38 of the last 200 games. The best price implies 17%.

What props does Willson Contreras have?

Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Willson Contreras: home runs and total bases. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Willson Contreras?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Willson Contreras's game logs.

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