Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez is projected for 0.1 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +620 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +862. Esmerlyn Valdez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 14% the market implies.
Esmerlyn Valdez projections and betting odds for Home Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Home Runs O/U 0.5
0.1projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 14%- Last 5
- 20% 1 of 5
- Last 10
- 20% 2 of 10
- Last 20
- 15% 3 of 20
- Last 72
- 22% 16 of 72
Projected range
projection 0.1Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair +862-
Optimal
+862
-
Pinnacle +620
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | AB | R | HIT | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | H+R+R | BB | RBI | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ CHC | 09-11 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 09-09 | W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ CWS | 09-08 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs LAA | 09-06 | W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAA | 09-05 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-02 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs SF | 09-01 | W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ STL | 08-30 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ STL | 08-29 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SD | 08-26 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SD | 08-25 | W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ LAD | 08-23 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ LAD | 08-22 | L | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-19 | W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-18 | W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-17 | L | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BOS | 08-16 | W | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BOS | 08-15 | L | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BOS | 08-14 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 08-13 | W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 08-12 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 08-11 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs NYM | 08-09 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs NYM | 08-08 | W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs NYM | 08-07 | L | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
What are Esmerlyn Valdez's projections?
OPTIMAL projects Esmerlyn Valdez for 0.1 home runs. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.
What are the best odds on Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 home runs?
The best price on Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 home runs is +620 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +862.
How often has Esmerlyn Valdez gone over 0.5 home runs?
Esmerlyn Valdez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 1 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 3 of the last 20 and 16 of the last 72 games. The best price implies 14%.
What props does Esmerlyn Valdez have?
Sportsbooks have posted 1 prop for Esmerlyn Valdez: home runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Esmerlyn Valdez?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Esmerlyn Valdez's game logs.