Jacob deGrom Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Jacob deGrom Earned Runs

tex SP MLB

Jacob deGrom is projected for 1.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is +105 at BetMGM, against a fair line of +100. He has cleared 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), versus the 49% the market implies.

Jacob deGrom projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 20

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 49%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 60
58%
35 of 60
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
5 vs CWS
1 vs SEA
5 @HOU
1 vs BAL
2 @LAA
0 vs WSH
8 @CWS
0 vs OAK
2 vs TB
0 @SEA
2 vs BOS
3 vs TOR

Projected range

projection 1.7
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +100
  • BetMGM +105 +1.2%
  • Fair odds +100
  • Caesars -105
  • Pinnacle -119
  • Sleeper -119
  • PrizePicks -120
  • Fliff -120

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TOR 09-20 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 4 3
vs BOS 09-16 W 1 5.0 15 3 8 1 2
@ SEA 09-10 L 0 6.0 18 1 12 0 0
vs TB 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 1 2
vs OAK 09-01 W 1 7.0 21 1 8 0 0
@ CWS 08-25 L 0 3.7 11 6 2 5 8
vs WSH 08-21 W 1 6.0 18 1 10 1 0
@ LAA 08-14 L 0 2.0 6 6 3 1 2
vs BAL 08-08 W 1 5.0 15 3 9 1 1
@ HOU 08-01 L 0 3.3 10 7 3 5 5
vs SEA 07-26 L 0 5.0 15 7 4 0 1
vs CWS 07-21 L 0 4.7 14 7 6 2 5
vs LAA 07-08 W 0 5.0 15 5 7 2 2
@ CLE 06-30 W 1 7.0 21 4 9 0 2
@ MIA 06-24 L 0 6.0 18 4 8 2 2
vs SD 06-20 W 1 6.0 18 6 9 3 6
@ BOS 06-13 L 0 6.0 18 6 5 0 2
vs CLE 06-07 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 2 0
@ STL 06-01 W 1 5.0 15 4 8 1 0
vs HOU 05-28 L 0 6.0 18 4 6 1 2
@ LAA 05-23 L 0 3.0 9 6 3 3 6
@ HOU 05-16 L 0 6.0 18 5 4 0 4
vs CHC 05-10 W 1 7.0 21 3 10 0 0
@ NYY 05-05 L 0 6.3 19 7 7 1 6
vs NYY 04-29 L 0 6.0 18 3 5 0 1

FAQ

Where can I find Jacob deGrom Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Jacob deGrom Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Jacob deGrom Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Jacob deGrom's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Jacob deGrom Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Jacob deGrom Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Jacob deGrom Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Jacob deGrom's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.