Jacob deGrom Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Jacob deGrom Earned Runs

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Jacob deGrom is projected for 1.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -108 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -103. Jacob deGrom has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 52% the market implies.

Jacob deGrom projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 25

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 52%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 61
59%
36 of 61
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 vs SEA
5 @HOU
1 vs BAL
2 @LAA
0 vs WSH
8 @CWS
0 vs OAK
2 vs TB
0 @SEA
2 vs BOS
3 vs TOR
8 @MIN

Projected range

projection 1.7
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -103
  • Optimal -103
  • Novig -108
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -112
  • BetMGM -115
  • Fanatics -115
  • Caesars -117
  • BetOnline -118
  • PrizePicks -120
  • DraftKings -121
  • Onyx Odds -121
  • Courtside -121
  • Dabble -122
  • Kalshi -126
  • Coinbase -126
  • Fliff -135
  • Sleeper -135
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ MIN 09-26 L 0 4.0 12 8 5 3 8
vs TOR 09-20 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 4 3
vs BOS 09-16 W 1 5.0 15 3 8 1 2
@ SEA 09-10 L 0 6.0 18 1 12 0 0
vs TB 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 1 2
vs OAK 09-01 W 1 7.0 21 1 8 0 0
@ CWS 08-25 L 0 3.7 11 6 2 5 8
vs WSH 08-21 W 1 6.0 18 1 10 1 0
@ LAA 08-14 L 0 2.0 6 6 3 1 2
vs BAL 08-08 W 1 5.0 15 3 9 1 1
@ HOU 08-01 L 0 3.3 10 7 3 5 5
vs SEA 07-26 L 0 5.0 15 7 4 0 1
vs CWS 07-21 L 0 4.7 14 7 6 2 5
vs LAA 07-08 W 0 5.0 15 5 7 2 2
@ CLE 06-30 W 1 7.0 21 4 9 0 2
@ MIA 06-24 L 0 6.0 18 4 8 2 2
vs SD 06-20 W 1 6.0 18 6 9 3 6
@ BOS 06-13 L 0 6.0 18 6 5 0 2
vs CLE 06-07 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 2 0
@ STL 06-01 W 1 5.0 15 4 8 1 0
vs HOU 05-28 L 0 6.0 18 4 6 1 2
@ LAA 05-23 L 0 3.0 9 6 3 3 6
@ HOU 05-16 L 0 6.0 18 5 4 0 4
vs CHC 05-10 W 1 7.0 21 3 10 0 0
@ NYY 05-05 L 0 6.3 19 7 7 1 6

FAQ

What is Jacob deGrom's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Jacob deGrom for 1.7 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Jacob deGrom Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Jacob deGrom Over 1.5 earned runs is -108 at Novig, among 16 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -103.

How often has Jacob deGrom gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Jacob deGrom has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 13 of the last 20 and 36 of the last 61 games. The best price implies 52%.

What props does Jacob deGrom have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Jacob deGrom: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Jacob deGrom?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Jacob deGrom's game logs.

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