Jameson Taillon Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Jameson Taillon Earned Runs

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Jameson Taillon is projected for 5.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -1087 at Kalshi. He has cleared 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 92% the market implies.

Jameson Taillon projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 4

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

5.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 92%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 43
60%
26 of 43
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 vs CIN
1 @TEX
8 @CWS
4 vs HOU
4 @PIT
2 vs OAK
1 vs SF
4 vs DET
7 @PIT
3 @HOU
0 vs BOS
1 @KC

Projected range

projection 5.6
1.0 12.0

Most likely 4.0–7.0 Typical 3.0–9.0

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi -1087
  • Coinbase -1087

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ KC 09-05 W 0 2.0 6 2 1 0 1
vs BOS 08-10 W 0 4.0 12 1 3 3 0
@ HOU 08-05 W 0 4.0 12 6 4 2 3
@ PIT 07-26 L 0 4.0 12 6 3 2 7
vs DET 07-21 L 0 4.3 13 5 6 2 4
vs SF 06-08 L 0 1.0 3 2 2 2 1
vs OAK 06-03 L 0 6.3 19 6 6 1 2
@ PIT 05-27 W 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 4
vs HOU 05-22 L 0 4.7 14 8 5 1 4
@ CWS 05-16 L 0 5.0 15 8 2 1 8
@ TEX 05-10 L 0 5.3 16 4 4 2 1
vs CIN 05-05 W 0 5.7 17 5 5 1 2
@ SD 04-29 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 1 3
@ LAD 04-25 W 0 5.0 15 4 4 3 4
vs NYM 04-18 W 1 6.0 18 5 4 3 1
vs PIT 04-12 W 0 6.0 18 6 10 2 6
@ TB 04-06 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 0 3
vs LAA 03-31 L 0 4.7 14 2 3 4 0
vs MIL 10-08 W 0 4.0 12 5 3 1 2
vs SD 10-02 W 0 4.0 12 2 4 0 0
vs STL 09-27 W 1 6.0 18 3 8 2 1
@ CIN 09-21 L 0 7.0 21 5 4 0 1
@ PIT 09-15 W 1 6.0 18 2 3 2 0
@ ATL 09-10 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 2 2
@ LAA 08-24 W 1 5.0 15 3 3 0 1

FAQ

Where can I find Jameson Taillon Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Jameson Taillon Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Jameson Taillon Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Jameson Taillon's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Jameson Taillon Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Jameson Taillon Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Jameson Taillon Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Jameson Taillon's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.