Chris Paddack Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Chris Paddack Earned Runs

tex P MLB

Chris Paddack is projected for 2.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -150 at BetMGM, against a fair line of -123. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 60% the market implies.

Chris Paddack projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game May 29

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 60%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 47
45%
21 of 47
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
2 @DET
2 @ATL
5 vs STL
2 @LAD
7 vs PHI
2 @CLE
3 vs STL
4 vs ATL
3 @STL
1 vs ARI
2 vs NYM
2 @CLE

Projected range

projection 2.9
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -123
  • Fair odds -123
  • BetMGM -150

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ CLE 06-29 W 0 4.0 12 7 1 0 2
vs NYM 06-17 L 0 4.3 13 4 2 1 2
vs ARI 06-14 L 0 1.0 3 1 0 1 1
@ STL 06-07 L 0 2.0 6 3 2 0 3
vs ATL 05-29 L 0 5.0 15 7 0 3 4
vs STL 05-23 L 0 5.0 15 7 5 3 3
@ CLE 05-16 L 0 5.0 15 6 3 1 2
vs PHI 05-03 L 0 2.7 8 6 1 3 7
@ LAD 04-28 L 0 4.0 12 4 1 1 2
vs STL 04-21 L 0 4.7 14 8 7 1 5
@ ATL 04-15 L 0 4.7 14 5 4 0 2
@ DET 04-10 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 1 2
@ NYY 04-05 W 0 4.7 14 3 4 4 0
vs CWS 03-30 L 0 4.0 12 8 6 0 8
@ BOS 09-28 L 0 4.3 13 7 5 4 4
vs ATL 09-19 L 0 5.0 15 3 2 0 2
vs CLE 09-17 L 0 0.3 1 0 1 0 0
@ MIA 09-12 L 0 3.0 9 2 2 1 3
@ NYY 09-09 W 0 3.0 9 0 4 0 0
vs NYM 09-02 L 0 1.3 4 8 1 0 6
@ KC 08-30 W 0 3.7 11 5 0 0 3
vs KC 08-23 W 1 5.0 15 5 1 1 1
@ MIN 08-17 L 0 5.7 17 9 4 3 8
@ CWS 08-11 W 0 5.7 17 3 4 1 1
vs MIN 08-05 L 0 4.0 12 6 0 0 4

FAQ

Where can I find Chris Paddack Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Chris Paddack Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Chris Paddack Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Chris Paddack's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Chris Paddack Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Chris Paddack Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Chris Paddack Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Chris Paddack's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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