Paul Skenes Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Paul Skenes Earned Runs

pit SP MLB

Paul Skenes is projected for 1.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is +105 at Fanatics, against a fair line of +125. He has cleared 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 49% the market implies.

Paul Skenes projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 24

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 49%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 63
49%
31 of 63
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 vs MIL
1 @CLE
5 vs CHC
5 @CIN
3 @MIL
1 @MIA
3 vs DET
0 @SD
5 vs SF
0 vs LAA
2 @CHC
5 vs KC

Projected range

projection 1.5
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +125
  • Fair odds +125
  • Fanatics +105
  • Underdog Fantasy +102
  • Fliff +100
  • ProphetX -101
  • Sleeper -102

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs KC 09-18 W 0 6.0 18 6 7 1 5
@ CHC 09-12 L 0 7.0 21 4 4 1 2
vs LAA 09-06 W 1 5.3 16 4 2 1 0
vs SF 09-01 W 0 4.7 14 8 4 3 5
@ SD 08-26 W 0 6.0 18 3 4 0 0
vs DET 08-19 W 0 4.3 13 4 5 4 3
@ MIA 08-11 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 1 1
@ MIL 08-05 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 4 3
@ CIN 07-31 L 0 4.0 12 7 7 4 5
vs CHC 07-25 L 0 5.3 16 6 11 2 5
@ CLE 07-19 W 1 7.0 21 7 8 2 1
vs MIL 07-12 W 1 5.3 16 3 7 1 2
vs ATL 07-07 W 1 6.0 18 8 4 1 2
@ PHI 07-01 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 2 7
vs CIN 06-26 L 0 5.0 15 6 7 2 4
@ COL 06-21 L 0 6.0 18 4 8 2 2
vs MIA 06-14 L 0 6.0 18 4 10 1 2
vs LAD 06-09 L 0 6.0 18 6 7 2 2
@ HOU 06-04 L 0 4.7 14 7 7 1 3
vs CHC 05-28 L 0 5.3 16 4 10 3 1
@ TOR 05-23 L 0 5.0 15 9 2 1 4
vs PHI 05-17 L 0 5.0 15 6 7 1 5
vs COL 05-12 W 1 8.0 24 2 10 0 0
@ ARI 05-07 W 1 8.0 24 2 7 0 0
vs STL 04-30 L 0 5.0 15 8 9 0 4

FAQ

Where can I find Paul Skenes Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Paul Skenes Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Paul Skenes Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Paul Skenes's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Paul Skenes Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Paul Skenes Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Paul Skenes Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Paul Skenes's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.