Paul Skenes Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Paul Skenes Earned Runs

pit SP MLB

Paul Skenes is projected for 1.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is +100 at BetMGM, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +115. Paul Skenes has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Paul Skenes projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 24

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 64
48%
31 of 64
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 @CLE
5 vs CHC
5 @CIN
3 @MIL
1 @MIA
3 vs DET
0 @SD
5 vs SF
0 vs LAA
2 @CHC
5 vs KC
1 vs STL

Projected range

projection 1.6
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +115
  • Optimal +115
  • BetMGM +100
  • Sleeper -103

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs STL 09-24 W 0 6.3 19 3 8 2 1
vs KC 09-18 W 0 6.0 18 6 7 1 5
@ CHC 09-12 L 0 7.0 21 4 4 1 2
vs LAA 09-06 W 1 5.3 16 4 2 1 0
vs SF 09-01 W 0 4.7 14 8 4 3 5
@ SD 08-26 W 0 6.0 18 3 4 0 0
vs DET 08-19 W 0 4.3 13 4 5 4 3
@ MIA 08-11 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 1 1
@ MIL 08-05 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 4 3
@ CIN 07-31 L 0 4.0 12 7 7 4 5
vs CHC 07-25 L 0 5.3 16 6 11 2 5
@ CLE 07-19 W 1 7.0 21 7 8 2 1
vs MIL 07-12 W 1 5.3 16 3 7 1 2
vs ATL 07-07 W 1 6.0 18 8 4 1 2
@ PHI 07-01 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 2 7
vs CIN 06-26 L 0 5.0 15 6 7 2 4
@ COL 06-21 L 0 6.0 18 4 8 2 2
vs MIA 06-14 L 0 6.0 18 4 10 1 2
vs LAD 06-09 L 0 6.0 18 6 7 2 2
@ HOU 06-04 L 0 4.7 14 7 7 1 3
vs CHC 05-28 L 0 5.3 16 4 10 3 1
@ TOR 05-23 L 0 5.0 15 9 2 1 4
vs PHI 05-17 L 0 5.0 15 6 7 1 5
vs COL 05-12 W 1 8.0 24 2 10 0 0
@ ARI 05-07 W 1 8.0 24 2 7 0 0

FAQ

What is Paul Skenes's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Paul Skenes for 1.6 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Paul Skenes Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Paul Skenes Over 1.5 earned runs is +100 at BetMGM, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +115.

How often has Paul Skenes gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Paul Skenes has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 15 of the last 20 and 31 of the last 64 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Paul Skenes have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Paul Skenes: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Paul Skenes?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Paul Skenes's game logs.

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