Kyle Freeland Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Kyle Freeland Earned Runs

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Kyle Freeland is projected for 2.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -104 at Sportsbook Rhode Island. Kyle Freeland has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Kyle Freeland projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 58
64%
37 of 58
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
2 vs MIA
6 @LAD
4 @SF
4 vs WSH
5 @MIL
1 vs KC
1 @STL
1 @SF
4 vs LAD
3 vs SD
5 vs ARI
4 @CWS

Projected range

projection 2.7
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -104
  • Polymarket US -116
  • PrizePicks -120
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ CWS 09-27 L 0 4.0 12 7 2 0 4
vs ARI 09-23 L 0 3.0 9 9 2 1 5
vs SD 09-16 W 0 4.0 12 8 1 0 3
vs LAD 08-20 L 0 3.7 11 6 5 1 4
@ SF 08-15 W 1 8.0 24 4 2 1 1
@ STL 08-08 W 0 4.3 13 5 3 3 1
vs KC 08-02 W 1 9.0 27 5 8 2 1
@ MIL 07-26 L 0 5.3 16 6 2 1 5
vs WSH 07-21 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 2 4
@ SF 07-11 L 0 6.0 18 6 9 0 4
@ LAD 07-07 L 0 5.0 15 9 2 0 6
vs MIA 07-02 W 1 5.0 15 6 7 1 2
vs BOS 06-24 W 0 6.0 18 11 4 1 6
vs PIT 06-20 W 0 7.3 22 4 8 0 2
@ OAK 06-14 L 0 5.7 17 10 4 0 6
vs MIL 06-07 L 0 5.0 15 7 2 1 3
@ LAA 06-02 W 0 5.7 17 7 4 1 5
@ LAD 05-27 L 0 4.0 12 9 4 0 8
vs TEX 05-20 L 0 4.7 14 7 4 2 3
vs ARI 05-16 L 0 3.7 11 8 3 4 7
@ PHI 05-09 L 0 5.0 15 10 4 0 6
vs ATL 05-03 L 0 4.3 13 8 7 3 6
@ CIN 04-28 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 1 4
@ SD 04-12 L 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0
vs HOU 04-08 W 1 6.3 19 3 5 1 1

FAQ

What is Kyle Freeland's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Kyle Freeland for 2.7 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Kyle Freeland Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Kyle Freeland Over 2.5 earned runs is -104 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 4 sportsbooks pricing the line.

How often has Kyle Freeland gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Kyle Freeland has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 15 of the last 20 and 37 of the last 58 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Kyle Freeland have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Kyle Freeland: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Kyle Freeland?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Kyle Freeland's game logs.

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