Matt Svanson Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Matt Svanson Earned Runs

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Matt Svanson is projected for 0.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +170 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against a fair line of +200. He has cleared 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 37% the market implies.

Matt Svanson projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 7

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 37%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 80
30%
24 of 80
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @KC
3 vs ARI
0 vs MIA
0 @ATL
0 @CHC
0 vs MIL
1 vs MIL
0 @ARI
0 @LAA
3 vs ARI
2 vs CIN
1 vs CHC

Projected range

projection 0.4
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +200
  • Fair odds +200
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +170
  • Novig +167
  • BetMGM +165
  • ProphetX +155
  • Underdog Fantasy +127

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs CHC 07-28 L 0 1.0 3 3 1 0 1
vs CIN 07-26 L 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 2
vs ARI 07-23 L 0 0.7 2 4 0 2 3
@ LAA 07-22 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
@ ARI 07-18 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0
vs MIL 07-09 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
vs MIL 07-07 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
@ CHC 07-05 L 0 1.7 5 3 2 0 0
@ ATL 07-02 W 0 1.0 3 0 2 0 0
vs MIA 06-27 L 0 0.3 1 1 0 1 0
vs ARI 06-23 L 0 0.3 1 3 1 1 3
@ KC 06-21 W 0 0.7 2 1 1 1 0
@ KC 06-20 L 0 2.0 6 0 1 1 0
vs SD 06-17 L 0 1.3 4 1 1 0 0
@ MIN 06-13 W 1 1.7 5 0 2 0 0
@ NYM 06-10 W 0 2.0 6 0 1 0 0
@ NYM 06-09 W 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
@ CIN 05-23 W 0 1.0 3 0 2 1 0
vs PIT 05-21 L 0 1.3 4 1 1 0 0
vs PIT 05-20 L 0 0.7 2 5 1 0 4
vs KC 05-17 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 1 0
@ OAK 05-14 W 1 1.0 3 1 2 0 0
@ OAK 05-14 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
@ SD 05-09 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 1
vs MIL 05-06 L 0 1.0 3 2 2 1 1

FAQ

Where can I find Matt Svanson Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Matt Svanson Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matt Svanson Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matt Svanson's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matt Svanson Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Matt Svanson Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matt Svanson Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Matt Svanson's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.