Luis Morales Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Luis Morales Earned Runs

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Luis Morales is projected for 2.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +111 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +128. He has cleared 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Luis Morales projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Apr 4

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 47%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
40%
6 of 15
Last 15
40%
6 of 15
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @SEA
0 vs DET
2 @STL
5 vs BOS
3 vs CIN
2 @PIT
2 vs KC
5 @TOR
5 vs HOU
5 vs CLE
2 @MIN
7 vs DET

Projected range

projection 2.5
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +128
  • Fair odds +128
  • Pinnacle +111

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 08-01 L 0 2.0 6 6 1 1 7
@ MIN 07-26 L 0 4.7 14 4 5 1 2
vs CLE 05-02 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 4 5
vs HOU 04-04 L 0 3.0 9 8 0 6 5
@ TOR 03-29 L 0 4.3 13 5 5 2 5
vs KC 09-28 L 0 4.7 14 5 5 2 2
@ PIT 09-20 L 0 6.0 18 5 4 2 2
vs CIN 09-14 W 1 5.0 15 4 2 2 3
vs BOS 09-09 L 0 4.7 14 7 2 1 5
@ STL 09-01 W 1 5.7 17 5 8 1 2
vs DET 08-28 W 1 7.0 21 2 7 2 0
@ SEA 08-23 L 0 6.0 18 2 6 0 1
vs LAA 08-17 W 1 5.0 15 5 5 2 1
@ BAL 08-10 W 0 2.7 8 0 4 5 0
vs ARI 08-02 W 0 2.0 6 3 0 1 1

FAQ

Where can I find Luis Morales Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Luis Morales Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Luis Morales Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Luis Morales's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Luis Morales Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Luis Morales Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Luis Morales Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Luis Morales's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.