Luis Morales Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL

Luis Morales Earned Runs

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Luis Morales is projected for 2.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +111 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +128. Luis Morales has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Luis Morales projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Apr 4

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 47%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
40%
6 of 15
Last 15
40%
6 of 15
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @SEA
0 vs DET
2 @STL
5 vs BOS
3 vs CIN
2 @PIT
2 vs KC
5 @TOR
5 vs HOU
5 vs CLE
2 @MIN
7 vs DET

Projected range

projection 2.5
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +128
  • Optimal +128
  • Pinnacle +111

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 08-01 L 0 2.0 6 6 1 1 7
@ MIN 07-26 L 0 4.7 14 4 5 1 2
vs CLE 05-02 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 4 5
vs HOU 04-04 L 0 3.0 9 8 0 6 5
@ TOR 03-29 L 0 4.3 13 5 5 2 5
vs KC 09-28 L 0 4.7 14 5 5 2 2
@ PIT 09-20 L 0 6.0 18 5 4 2 2
vs CIN 09-14 W 1 5.0 15 4 2 2 3
vs BOS 09-09 L 0 4.7 14 7 2 1 5
@ STL 09-01 W 1 5.7 17 5 8 1 2
vs DET 08-28 W 1 7.0 21 2 7 2 0
@ SEA 08-23 L 0 6.0 18 2 6 0 1
vs LAA 08-17 W 1 5.0 15 5 5 2 1
@ BAL 08-10 W 0 2.7 8 0 4 5 0
vs ARI 08-02 W 0 2.0 6 3 0 1 1

FAQ

What is Luis Morales's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Luis Morales for 2.5 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Luis Morales Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Luis Morales Over 2.5 earned runs is +111 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +128.

How often has Luis Morales gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Luis Morales has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 6 of the last 15 and 6 of the last 15 games. The best price implies 47%.

What props does Luis Morales have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Luis Morales: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Luis Morales?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luis Morales's game logs.