Lucas Erceg Earned Runs

OPTIMAL projects Lucas Erceg for 0.3 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

The best price on Lucas Erceg Over 0.5 earned runs is +250 at Fanatics, among 3 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +305.

Sportsbooks have posted 3 props for Lucas Erceg: strikeouts, outs and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Lucas Erceg's game logs.