Tyler Alexander Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Tyler Alexander Earned Runs

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Tyler Alexander is projected for 0.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +170 at BetMGM, against a fair line of +200. He has cleared 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), versus the 37% the market implies.

Tyler Alexander projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 17

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 37%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
25%
5 of 20
Last 123
37%
45 of 123
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @CWS
0 @MIL
0 @MIL
0 vs TB
0 vs TB
1 vs TB
0 @SEA
2 @ARI
0 vs BOS
0 vs BOS
0 vs TOR
3 vs TOR

Projected range

projection 0.4
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +200
  • Fair odds +200
  • BetMGM +170

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TOR 09-20 L 0 0.0 0 2 0 1 3
vs TOR 09-19 W 0 0.7 2 0 1 0 0
vs BOS 09-18 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 1 0
vs BOS 09-16 W 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
@ ARI 09-13 W 0 1.0 3 2 0 1 2
@ SEA 09-09 L 0 2.0 6 0 1 0 0
vs TB 09-06 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 0 1
vs TB 09-05 L 0 1.0 3 2 1 0 0
vs TB 09-05 L 0 1.3 4 0 1 0 0
@ MIL 08-30 W 1 2.0 6 0 1 1 0
@ MIL 08-28 L 0 0.3 1 0 0 0 0
@ CWS 08-25 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 1 0
vs LAA 08-23 W 0 0.3 1 3 0 0 2
vs LAA 08-22 W 1 1.0 3 1 2 0 0
vs WSH 08-19 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 1 0
@ OAK 08-16 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 1 0
@ OAK 08-15 L 0 0.3 1 3 1 2 2
@ LAA 08-14 L 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0
@ LAA 08-11 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs BAL 08-08 W 1 0.7 2 1 1 0 0
vs SF 08-05 W 1 1.7 5 0 3 0 0
@ HOU 08-02 L 0 0.3 1 1 0 0 2
@ HOU 08-01 L 0 2.0 6 0 1 0 0
@ TB 07-28 W 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
vs SEA 07-26 L 0 0.3 1 2 0 0 2

FAQ

Where can I find Tyler Alexander Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Tyler Alexander Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Tyler Alexander Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Tyler Alexander's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Tyler Alexander Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Tyler Alexander Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Tyler Alexander Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Tyler Alexander's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.