Connelly Early Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

Connelly Early Earned Runs

wsh SP MLB

Connelly Early is projected for 2.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -101 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +114. He has cleared 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Connelly Early projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jun 30

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 22
27%
6 of 22
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
2 @BAL
5 vs HOU
0 vs TB
2 @ATL
3 @KC
0 vs ATL
4 vs BAL
2 @TB
6 vs TEX
1 @SEA
2 vs NYY
0 vs WSH

Projected range

projection 2.6
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +114
  • Fair odds +114
  • Pinnacle -101

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs WSH 06-30 L 0 4.0 12 3 5 2 0
vs NYY 06-25 W 1 6.0 18 5 9 1 2
@ SEA 06-21 W 1 6.0 18 2 7 2 1
vs TEX 06-14 L 0 4.7 14 11 3 2 6
@ TB 06-08 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 4 2
vs BAL 06-02 L 0 5.3 16 6 6 1 4
vs ATL 05-27 W 1 7.0 21 4 7 3 0
@ KC 05-20 W 1 6.3 19 6 5 1 3
@ ATL 05-15 L 0 5.0 15 5 6 0 2
vs TB 05-08 W 1 7.0 21 4 8 1 0
vs HOU 05-02 L 0 4.0 12 6 3 3 5
@ BAL 04-26 W 1 6.7 20 4 4 1 2
vs NYY 04-21 L 0 5.3 16 5 4 3 3
@ MIN 04-15 W 1 6.0 18 2 5 2 1
@ STL 04-11 L 0 4.3 13 5 5 2 1
vs SD 04-04 L 0 4.0 12 3 4 4 2
@ CIN 03-29 L 0 5.3 16 5 6 2 1
@ NYY 10-03 L 0 3.7 11 6 6 1 3
vs DET 09-27 L 0 5.0 15 4 7 1 2
@ TB 09-21 L 0 4.0 12 3 4 2 2
vs OAK 09-16 L 0 5.3 16 5 7 0 1
@ OAK 09-10 W 1 5.0 15 5 11 1 0

FAQ

Where can I find Connelly Early Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Connelly Early Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Connelly Early Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Connelly Early's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Connelly Early Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Connelly Early Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Connelly Early Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Connelly Early's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

Related Players

Abimelec Ortiz

IF wsh

Alex Clemmey

SP wsh

Andres Chaparro

IF wsh

Andrew Alvarez

RP wsh

Andrew Pinckney

OF wsh

Andry Lara

P wsh

Armando Cruz

SS wsh

Brad Lord

RP wsh