Seth Lugo Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Seth Lugo Earned Runs

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Seth Lugo is projected for 2.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +113 at BetOnline, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +128. Seth Lugo has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 8 of the last 10 games (80%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Seth Lugo projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 47%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 58
48%
28 of 58
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
3 vs SF
1 @MIN
5 @COL
3 vs CHC
5 @LAA
5 vs OAK
1 @TOR
9 @CLE
3 vs TOR
2 @BOS
4 @HOU
4 vs CWS

Projected range

projection 2.6
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +128
  • Optimal +128
  • BetOnline +113
  • Fanatics +105
  • Fliff +100

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs CWS 09-23 W 0 3.3 10 7 3 0 4
@ HOU 09-17 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 1 4
@ BOS 09-11 W 1 5.0 15 7 7 2 2
vs TOR 09-05 L 0 5.0 15 8 1 2 3
@ CLE 08-30 L 0 3.7 11 9 2 2 9
@ TOR 08-25 W 1 5.0 15 6 5 1 1
vs OAK 08-19 W 0 6.0 18 9 3 0 5
@ LAA 08-15 W 0 4.7 14 7 4 0 5
vs CHC 08-08 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 1 3
@ COL 08-02 L 0 5.0 15 5 3 5 5
@ MIN 07-28 L 0 6.0 18 6 2 2 1
vs SF 07-22 W 1 7.0 21 3 5 2 3
vs SD 07-18 W 0 6.0 18 4 3 2 1
@ BAL 07-12 L 0 4.0 12 4 6 2 2
@ NYM 07-07 W 0 4.3 13 9 4 2 6
vs TB 07-01 L 0 6.0 18 9 7 0 3
@ TB 06-25 L 0 5.0 15 7 3 2 7
vs STL 06-20 W 1 6.0 18 5 0 3 1
vs TEX 06-10 L 0 3.3 10 3 2 1 1
@ MIN 06-04 W 0 5.0 15 6 4 1 5
@ TEX 05-30 L 0 6.0 18 6 6 0 1
vs SEA 05-24 W 1 6.3 19 6 3 2 3
vs BOS 05-18 L 0 6.0 18 5 5 2 2
@ CWS 05-13 L 0 5.0 15 8 4 2 5
vs CLE 05-07 L 0 4.0 12 7 5 4 4

FAQ

What is Seth Lugo's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Seth Lugo for 2.6 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Seth Lugo Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Seth Lugo Over 2.5 earned runs is +113 at BetOnline, among 3 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +128.

How often has Seth Lugo gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Seth Lugo has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 5, 8 of the last 10, 13 of the last 20 and 28 of the last 58 games. The best price implies 47%.

What props does Seth Lugo have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Seth Lugo: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Seth Lugo?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Seth Lugo's game logs.

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