Seth Lugo Earned Runs

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Seth Lugo is projected for 2.6 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +113 at BetOnline, against a fair line of +128. He has cleared 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Seth Lugo projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 47%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 60%
Last 57: 47%

line 2.5

1 vs SD

3 vs SF

1 @MIN

5 @COL

3 vs CHC

5 @LAA

5 vs OAK

1 @TOR

9 @CLE

3 vs TOR

2 @BOS

4 @HOU

Projected range

projection 2.6

0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +128

Fair odds +128
BetOnline +113
Fanatics +105
Fliff +100

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	W	IP	OUT	HIT	K	BB	R
@ HOU	09-17	L	0	5.0	15	8	5	1	4
@ BOS	09-11	W	1	5.0	15	7	7	2	2
vs TOR	09-05	L	0	5.0	15	8	1	2	3
@ CLE	08-30	L	0	3.7	11	9	2	2	9
@ TOR	08-25	W	1	5.0	15	6	5	1	1
vs OAK	08-19	W	0	6.0	18	9	3	0	5
@ LAA	08-15	W	0	4.7	14	7	4	0	5
vs CHC	08-08	W	1	6.0	18	5	5	1	3
@ COL	08-02	L	0	5.0	15	5	3	5	5
@ MIN	07-28	L	0	6.0	18	6	2	2	1
vs SF	07-22	W	1	7.0	21	3	5	2	3
vs SD	07-18	W	0	6.0	18	4	3	2	1
@ BAL	07-12	L	0	4.0	12	4	6	2	2
@ NYM	07-07	W	0	4.3	13	9	4	2	6
vs TB	07-01	L	0	6.0	18	9	7	0	3
@ TB	06-25	L	0	5.0	15	7	3	2	7
vs STL	06-20	W	1	6.0	18	5	0	3	1
vs TEX	06-10	L	0	3.3	10	3	2	1	1
@ MIN	06-04	W	0	5.0	15	6	4	1	5
@ TEX	05-30	L	0	6.0	18	6	6	0	1
vs SEA	05-24	W	1	6.3	19	6	3	2	3
vs BOS	05-18	L	0	6.0	18	5	5	2	2
@ CWS	05-13	L	0	5.0	15	8	4	2	5
vs CLE	05-07	L	0	4.0	12	7	5	4	4
@ SEA	05-03	W	0	6.0	18	7	6	2	2

FAQ

Where can I find Seth Lugo Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Seth Lugo Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Seth Lugo Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Seth Lugo's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Seth Lugo Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Seth Lugo Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Seth Lugo Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Seth Lugo's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

Seth Lugo Earned Runs

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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