Matt Chapman Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Matt Chapman

sf IF MLB

Matt Chapman is projected for 0.2 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +525 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +673. Matt Chapman has gone over 0.5 home runs in 0 of the last 10 games (0%), versus the 16% the market implies.

Matt Chapman projections and betting odds for Home Runs, Total Bases. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 31

Props & Odds

Home Runs O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 16%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
0%
0 of 10
Last 20
10%
2 of 20
Last 200
11%
22 of 200
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @ATL
0 @MIA
0 @MIA
0 @MIA
0 vs OAK
0 vs OAK
0 vs OAK
0 vs ATL
0 vs ATL
0 vs ATL
0 @ARI
0 @ARI

Projected range

projection 0.2
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +673
  • Optimal +673
  • Novig +525
  • Pinnacle +509

Recent games

Opp Date W/L AB R HIT 1B 2B 3B HR TB H+R+R BB RBI SB
@ ARI 07-01 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ ARI 06-30 L 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs ATL 06-28 W 4 0 2 1 1 0 0 3 2 0 0 0
vs ATL 06-28 W 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs ATL 06-27 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs OAK 06-25 L 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0
vs OAK 06-25 W 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs OAK 06-24 W 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 1 0
@ MIA 06-21 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ MIA 06-20 L 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ MIA 06-19 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ ATL 06-17 W 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ ATL 06-16 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0
vs CHC 06-14 W 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 5 2 2 0
vs CHC 06-14 L 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs CHC 06-13 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs WSH 06-10 W 5 3 4 1 1 0 2 11 10 0 3 0
vs WSH 06-10 L 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0
vs WSH 06-09 L 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 1 0
@ CHC 06-08 W 3 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 0
@ CHC 06-06 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ CHC 06-05 W 3 2 2 0 0 0 2 8 12 0 8 0
@ MIL 06-04 W 5 1 3 2 1 0 0 4 6 0 2 0
@ MIL 06-03 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ MIL 06-02 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

FAQ

What are Matt Chapman's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Matt Chapman for 0.2 home runs and 1.4 total bases. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

What are the best odds on Matt Chapman Over 0.5 home runs?

The best price on Matt Chapman Over 0.5 home runs is +525 at Novig, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +673.

How often has Matt Chapman gone over 0.5 home runs?

Matt Chapman has gone over 0.5 home runs in 0 of the last 5, 0 of the last 10, 2 of the last 20 and 22 of the last 200 games. The best price implies 16%.

What props does Matt Chapman have?

Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Matt Chapman: home runs and total bases. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Matt Chapman?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Matt Chapman's game logs.

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