Stephen Kolek Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Stephen Kolek Earned Runs

kc RP MLB

Stephen Kolek is projected for 2.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -144 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of -123. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 59% the market implies.

Stephen Kolek projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 2

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 59%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 29
45%
13 of 29
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 vs SEA
2 @LAA
3 vs CLE
5 @CWS
0 @STL
0 vs SEA
4 @TEX
2 @CIN
1 vs TEX
0 vs HOU
9 vs STL
3 vs TB

Projected range

projection 2.9
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -123
  • Fair odds -123
  • Pinnacle -144

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TB 07-02 L 0 2.0 6 4 0 1 3
vs STL 06-21 L 0 1.7 5 9 0 1 9
vs HOU 06-14 W 1 7.3 22 5 4 1 0
vs TEX 06-09 W 0 5.0 15 8 3 1 1
@ CIN 06-03 W 0 7.0 21 6 8 2 2
@ TEX 05-30 L 0 5.0 15 6 5 1 4
vs SEA 05-23 W 1 9.0 27 4 2 1 0
@ STL 05-17 W 1 6.3 19 4 3 1 0
@ CWS 05-12 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 3 5
vs CLE 05-05 W 1 6.0 18 4 3 0 3
@ LAA 09-25 L 0 6.0 18 5 2 2 2
vs SEA 09-18 L 0 7.3 22 2 8 1 1
@ CLE 09-11 L 0 6.7 20 3 4 1 1
vs MIN 09-06 W 1 7.0 21 6 4 1 2
vs DET 08-30 W 0 6.0 18 4 3 0 1
@ STL 07-27 W 1 6.0 18 4 2 3 2
@ MIA 07-22 L 0 5.7 17 8 5 1 3
vs TEX 07-06 L 0 5.3 16 9 2 1 6
@ CIN 06-29 L 0 5.7 17 3 5 1 1
vs WSH 06-24 L 0 4.3 13 5 5 1 4
@ LAD 06-19 L 0 6.3 19 6 3 1 3
@ ARI 06-14 L 0 4.3 13 7 5 2 4
@ MIL 06-07 L 0 5.7 17 3 2 4 0
@ SF 06-03 W 0 5.7 17 3 3 2 0
vs MIA 05-28 W 1 5.3 16 6 3 2 6

FAQ

Where can I find Stephen Kolek Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Stephen Kolek Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Stephen Kolek Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Stephen Kolek's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Stephen Kolek Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Stephen Kolek Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Stephen Kolek Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Stephen Kolek's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.