Zac Thornton Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Zac Thornton Earned Runs

nym SP MLB

Zac Thornton is projected for 2.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +120 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +136. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 45% the market implies.

Zac Thornton projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 18

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 45%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
43%
6 of 14
Last 14
43%
6 of 14
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
0 vs BOS
0 @MIL
3 vs ATL
3 vs MIA
0 @PIT
3 @ATL
3 vs SD
1 vs MIL
2 vs HOU
6 vs SF
2 @NYY
2 vs PHI

Projected range

projection 2.5
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +136
  • Fair odds +136
  • Fair odds +134
  • Pinnacle +120
  • DraftKings +119
  • Onyx Odds +119
  • Courtside +119
  • Novig +117
  • BetOnline +117
  • Caesars +112
  • BetMGM +105
  • Sleeper +101
  • Fanatics +100
  • Fliff +100

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs PHI 09-18 W 1 6.0 18 5 4 1 2
@ NYY 09-12 W 1 7.0 21 5 4 1 2
vs SF 09-05 L 0 5.0 15 7 6 1 6
vs HOU 08-30 L 0 5.0 15 6 5 0 2
vs MIL 08-25 W 0 6.0 18 7 4 0 1
vs SD 08-18 L 0 5.0 15 6 7 1 3
@ ATL 08-12 L 0 6.0 18 7 2 1 3
@ PIT 08-07 W 1 5.0 15 4 3 2 0
vs MIA 08-01 L 0 4.7 14 6 2 3 3
vs ATL 07-27 W 1 6.3 19 6 5 1 3
@ MIL 07-21 W 1 6.0 18 3 2 1 0
vs BOS 07-12 L 0 7.0 21 2 5 2 0
vs PHI 06-26 L 0 6.0 18 5 7 1 1
@ WSH 05-20 L 0 4.3 13 4 3 2 4

FAQ

Where can I find Zac Thornton Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Zac Thornton Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Zac Thornton Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Zac Thornton's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Zac Thornton Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Zac Thornton Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Zac Thornton Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Zac Thornton's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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