Lucas Giolito Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Lucas Giolito Earned Runs

sd SP MLB

Lucas Giolito is projected for 2.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -110 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +104. Lucas Giolito has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 52% the market implies.

Lucas Giolito projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jun 21

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 52%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 33
39%
13 of 33
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 vs PIT
2 @ARI
1 vs NYY
4 vs OAK
1 @TOR
3 @SEA
0 vs OAK
4 @WSH
2 @PHI
1 vs CIN
3 @STL
4 @TEX

Projected range

projection 2.7
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +104
  • Optimal +104
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -110
  • BetMGM -115
  • PrizePicks -119

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ TEX 06-21 L 0 4.0 12 7 2 2 4
@ STL 06-15 L 0 5.0 15 7 2 3 3
vs CIN 06-10 L 0 4.0 12 2 3 5 1
@ PHI 06-04 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 1 2
@ WSH 05-29 W 0 2.7 8 5 1 4 4
vs OAK 05-24 W 1 5.0 15 4 2 5 0
@ SEA 05-17 W 1 5.0 15 1 3 3 3
@ TOR 09-23 W 0 4.7 14 3 3 4 1
vs OAK 09-17 W 0 4.3 13 5 5 5 4
vs NYY 09-12 L 0 5.7 17 5 6 1 1
@ ARI 09-07 L 0 5.0 15 7 2 3 2
vs PIT 08-31 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 5 1
@ BAL 08-26 W 1 8.0 24 4 8 1 0
@ NYY 08-21 W 0 4.7 14 5 4 3 3
vs MIA 08-15 W 0 6.3 19 7 5 1 1
@ SD 08-10 L 0 4.7 14 5 1 6 4
vs HOU 08-03 W 1 8.0 24 3 4 1 1
@ MIN 07-29 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 2 1
@ PHI 07-23 W 0 4.0 12 6 2 1 5
@ CHC 07-18 L 0 5.3 16 5 6 2 4
vs COL 07-09 W 1 6.0 18 4 6 0 0
@ WSH 07-04 W 1 7.7 23 4 7 3 1
vs TOR 06-28 W 1 7.0 21 6 5 1 0
@ SF 06-22 L 0 6.0 18 4 5 2 2
@ SEA 06-17 W 1 6.0 18 3 10 1 0

FAQ

What is Lucas Giolito's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Lucas Giolito for 2.7 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Lucas Giolito Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Lucas Giolito Over 2.5 earned runs is -110 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 3 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +104.

How often has Lucas Giolito gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Lucas Giolito has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 13 of the last 33 games. The best price implies 52%.

What props does Lucas Giolito have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Lucas Giolito: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Lucas Giolito?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Lucas Giolito's game logs.

Related Players

Adrian Morejon

RP sd

Alek Jacob

RP sd

Alex Verdugo

OF sd

Andrew Bellatti

P sd

Austin Davis

P sd

Austin Hays

OF sd

Blake Hunt

IF sd

Brad Miller

IF sd