Lucas Giolito Earned Runs

sd SP MLB

Lucas Giolito is projected for 2.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -110 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against a fair line of +104. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 52% the market implies.

Lucas Giolito projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jun 21

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 52%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 45%
Last 33: 39%

line 2.5

1 vs PIT

2 @ARI

1 vs NYY

4 vs OAK

1 @TOR

3 @SEA

0 vs OAK

4 @WSH

2 @PHI

1 vs CIN

3 @STL

4 @TEX

Projected range

projection 2.7

0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +104

Fair odds +104
Sportsbook Rhode Island -110
BetMGM -115
PrizePicks -119

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	W	IP	OUT	HIT	K	BB	R
@ TEX	06-21	L	0	4.0	12	7	2	2	4
@ STL	06-15	L	0	5.0	15	7	2	3	3
vs CIN	06-10	L	0	4.0	12	2	3	5	1
@ PHI	06-04	L	0	4.0	12	6	5	1	2
@ WSH	05-29	W	0	2.7	8	5	1	4	4
vs OAK	05-24	W	1	5.0	15	4	2	5	0
@ SEA	05-17	W	1	5.0	15	1	3	3	3
@ TOR	09-23	W	0	4.7	14	3	3	4	1
vs OAK	09-17	W	0	4.3	13	5	5	5	4
vs NYY	09-12	L	0	5.7	17	5	6	1	1
@ ARI	09-07	L	0	5.0	15	7	2	3	2
vs PIT	08-31	W	1	6.0	18	3	6	5	1
@ BAL	08-26	W	1	8.0	24	4	8	1	0
@ NYY	08-21	W	0	4.7	14	5	4	3	3
vs MIA	08-15	W	0	6.3	19	7	5	1	1
@ SD	08-10	L	0	4.7	14	5	1	6	4
vs HOU	08-03	W	1	8.0	24	3	4	1	1
@ MIN	07-29	W	1	6.0	18	5	5	2	1
@ PHI	07-23	W	0	4.0	12	6	2	1	5
@ CHC	07-18	L	0	5.3	16	5	6	2	4
vs COL	07-09	W	1	6.0	18	4	6	0	0
@ WSH	07-04	W	1	7.7	23	4	7	3	1
vs TOR	06-28	W	1	7.0	21	6	5	1	0
@ SF	06-22	L	0	6.0	18	4	5	2	2
@ SEA	06-17	W	1	6.0	18	3	10	1	0

FAQ

Where can I find Lucas Giolito Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Lucas Giolito Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Lucas Giolito Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Lucas Giolito's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Lucas Giolito Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Lucas Giolito Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Lucas Giolito Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Lucas Giolito's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

Lucas Giolito Earned Runs

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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