Nelson Velazquez Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Nelson Velazquez

hou OF MLB

Nelson Velazquez is projected for 0.2 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +398 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +503. Nelson Velazquez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 20% the market implies.

Nelson Velazquez projections and betting odds for Home Runs, Total Bases. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Home Runs O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 20%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
15%
3 of 20
Last 51
14%
7 of 51
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
1 vs CWS
0 vs CWS
0 vs CWS
0 vs ARI
1 @TB
0 vs KC
0 vs ATL
0 @SEA
0 @SEA
0 @OAK
0 @OAK
1 vs CWS

Projected range

projection 0.2
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +503
  • Optimal +503
  • Pinnacle +398

Recent games

Opp Date W/L AB R HIT 1B 2B 3B HR TB H+R+R BB RBI SB
vs CWS 09-29 L 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 2 0
@ OAK 09-27 W 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ OAK 09-26 L 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ SEA 09-24 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SEA 09-23 W 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs ATL 09-19 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs KC 09-17 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ TB 09-13 L 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 0 1 0
vs ARI 09-06 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CWS 09-03 W 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 2 0
vs CWS 09-02 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs CWS 09-01 W 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 2 0
@ NYM 08-28 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NYY 08-26 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NYY 08-25 W 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SEA 08-16 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SF 08-12 W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ SF 08-12 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NYY 08-04 L 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0
vs CHC 07-28 L 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs CHC 07-27 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CIN 07-26 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CIN 07-25 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs ARI 07-23 L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ LAA 07-22 W 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

FAQ

What are Nelson Velazquez's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Nelson Velazquez for 0.2 home runs and 0.9 total bases. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.

What are the best odds on Nelson Velazquez Over 0.5 home runs?

The best price on Nelson Velazquez Over 0.5 home runs is +398 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +503.

How often has Nelson Velazquez gone over 0.5 home runs?

Nelson Velazquez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 1 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 3 of the last 20 and 7 of the last 51 games. The best price implies 20%.

What props does Nelson Velazquez have?

Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Nelson Velazquez: home runs and total bases. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Nelson Velazquez?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Nelson Velazquez's game logs.

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