Martin Perez Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Martin Perez Earned Runs

atl RP MLB

Martin Perez is projected for 6.2 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -10645 at Kalshi. He has cleared 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), versus the 99% the market implies.

Martin Perez projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 20

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

6.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 99%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 41
46%
19 of 41
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
0 vs SD
3 @NYM
0 vs WSH
0 vs MIA
0 vs NYM
4 @MIN
1 @MIL
1 vs COL
4 @PHI
0 vs TB
2 @CHC
1 @HOU

Projected range

projection 6.2
1.0 13.0

Most likely 4.0–8.0 Typical 3.0–10.0

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi -10645
  • Coinbase -10645

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ HOU 09-20 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 2 1
@ CHC 09-15 W 1 6.0 18 5 2 4 2
vs TB 09-10 W 0 7.0 21 4 4 2 0
@ PHI 09-05 L 0 3.7 11 7 3 4 4
vs COL 08-29 W 0 5.7 17 5 6 2 1
@ MIL 08-22 L 0 4.0 12 4 2 3 1
@ MIN 08-17 L 0 5.0 15 9 3 2 4
vs NYM 08-11 W 1 6.0 18 4 2 3 0
vs MIA 08-06 W 0 3.0 9 0 3 1 0
vs WSH 08-01 W 1 7.0 21 1 6 2 0
@ NYM 07-27 L 0 5.0 15 8 4 1 3
vs SD 07-22 W 0 4.0 12 1 3 4 0
vs NYM 07-05 L 0 4.3 13 6 1 2 4
vs STL 06-30 L 0 5.0 15 5 1 3 4
@ SD 06-25 L 0 4.0 12 4 4 4 3
vs MIL 06-19 W 1 6.0 18 6 5 2 1
@ NYM 06-13 W 1 5.3 16 4 4 1 1
vs PIT 06-05 W 1 5.0 15 3 5 2 3
@ CIN 05-30 W 1 5.0 15 4 2 3 2
vs WSH 05-24 L 0 5.7 17 5 2 2 1
@ MIA 05-19 W 0 5.0 15 5 10 2 4
vs BOS 05-16 L 0 1.0 3 0 2 0 0
vs CHC 05-13 W 0 1.0 3 0 2 0 0
@ SEA 05-06 L 0 5.7 17 5 5 1 2
vs DET 04-28 W 1 5.0 15 2 5 4 0

FAQ

Where can I find Martin Perez Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Martin Perez Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Martin Perez Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Martin Perez's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Martin Perez Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Martin Perez Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Martin Perez Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Martin Perez's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.