Willy Adames
Willy Adames is projected for 0.1 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +590 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +756. Willy Adames has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 14% the market implies.
Willy Adames projections and betting odds for Home Runs, Total Bases. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Home Runs O/U 0.5
0.1projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 14%- Last 5
- 40% 2 of 5
- Last 10
- 20% 2 of 10
- Last 20
- 15% 3 of 20
- Last 200
- 19% 38 of 200
Projected range
projection 0.1Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair +756-
Optimal
+756
-
Novig +590
-
Pinnacle +559
Total Bases O/U 0.5
0.8projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 61%- Last 5
- 80% 4 of 5
- Last 10
- 80% 8 of 10
- Last 20
- 70% 14 of 20
- Last 200
- 60% 120 of 200
Projected range
projection 0.8Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair -131-
Optimal
-131
-
Pinnacle -155
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | AB | R | HIT | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | H+R+R | BB | RBI | SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ BOS | 08-23 | L | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BOS | 08-22 | L | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ BOS | 08-21 | L | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CLE | 08-20 | L | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ CLE | 08-19 | W | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 08-12 | L | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 08-12 | W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| vs HOU | 08-11 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-09 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-08 | L | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 08-08 | W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ TEX | 08-05 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TEX | 08-05 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TEX | 08-04 | W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SD | 08-02 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SD | 08-02 | L | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SD | 08-01 | L | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SD | 07-31 | W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| vs MIL | 07-29 | W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| vs MIL | 07-29 | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs MIL | 07-28 | W | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAA | 07-26 | L | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAA | 07-25 | W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAA | 07-25 | W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ KC | 07-22 | L | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
FAQ
What are Willy Adames's projections?
OPTIMAL projects Willy Adames for 0.1 home runs and 0.8 total bases. Half of the projected outcomes for home runs fall between 0.0 and 0.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 1.0.
What are the best odds on Willy Adames Over 0.5 home runs?
The best price on Willy Adames Over 0.5 home runs is +590 at Novig, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +756.
How often has Willy Adames gone over 0.5 home runs?
Willy Adames has gone over 0.5 home runs in 2 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 3 of the last 20 and 38 of the last 200 games. The best price implies 14%.
What props does Willy Adames have?
Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Willy Adames: home runs and total bases. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Willy Adames?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Willy Adames's game logs.