Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs

tor P MLB

Michael Lorenzen is projected for 2.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -105 at BetMGM, against a fair line of -102. He has cleared 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Michael Lorenzen projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 15

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 59
51%
30 of 59
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @SF
6 vs WSH
3 @SD
7 vs TB
2 @STL
6 @SF
1 vs KC
2 @CLE
1 @KC
2 @OAK
0 vs BAL
5 vs DET

Projected range

projection 2.7
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -102
  • Fair odds -102
  • BetMGM -105
  • DraftKings -115
  • Onyx Odds -115
  • Pinnacle -120
  • Fliff -125
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 09-15 L 0 2.0 6 4 1 3 5
vs BAL 09-13 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 0 0
@ OAK 09-09 L 0 2.7 8 4 2 1 2
@ KC 09-05 W 0 3.0 9 3 2 0 1
@ CLE 09-01 L 0 1.0 3 2 0 0 2
vs KC 08-27 L 0 2.0 6 3 2 1 1
@ SF 08-15 L 0 3.7 11 4 1 3 6
@ STL 08-09 L 0 4.3 13 8 1 3 2
vs TB 08-04 L 0 3.0 9 7 0 3 7
@ SD 07-29 L 0 4.0 12 8 2 1 3
vs WSH 07-22 W 0 3.7 11 7 5 1 6
@ SF 07-12 L 0 5.0 15 5 1 3 1
@ LAD 07-08 W 0 6.0 18 6 5 3 2
vs MIA 07-02 W 0 4.3 13 4 1 6 4
@ MIN 06-27 W 1 5.7 17 7 1 0 2
vs PIT 06-21 L 0 5.3 16 7 5 1 4
@ CHC 06-16 L 0 5.0 15 5 5 1 1
vs CHC 06-11 W 0 5.0 15 2 7 2 1
@ LAA 06-04 L 0 3.3 10 10 5 2 8
vs SF 05-30 W 0 3.7 11 5 2 2 3
@ ARI 05-24 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 1 5
vs ARI 05-17 L 0 4.7 14 9 5 3 6
@ PIT 05-12 L 0 5.0 15 5 5 2 2
vs NYM 05-07 L 0 5.0 15 11 2 3 7
@ CIN 04-30 L 0 5.3 16 4 5 3 4

FAQ

Where can I find Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Michael Lorenzen's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Michael Lorenzen's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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