Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Michael Lorenzen Earned Runs

col RP MLB

Michael Lorenzen is projected for 2.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -105 at BetMGM, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -102. Michael Lorenzen has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Michael Lorenzen projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Aug 15

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 59
51%
30 of 59
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @SF
6 vs WSH
3 @SD
7 vs TB
2 @STL
6 @SF
1 vs KC
2 @CLE
1 @KC
2 @OAK
0 vs BAL
5 vs DET

Projected range

projection 2.7
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -102
  • Optimal -102
  • BetMGM -105
  • DraftKings -115
  • Onyx Odds -115
  • Pinnacle -120
  • Fliff -125
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 09-15 L 0 2.0 6 4 1 3 5
vs BAL 09-13 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 0 0
@ OAK 09-09 L 0 2.7 8 4 2 1 2
@ KC 09-05 W 0 3.0 9 3 2 0 1
@ CLE 09-01 L 0 1.0 3 2 0 0 2
vs KC 08-27 L 0 2.0 6 3 2 1 1
@ SF 08-15 L 0 3.7 11 4 1 3 6
@ STL 08-09 L 0 4.3 13 8 1 3 2
vs TB 08-04 L 0 3.0 9 7 0 3 7
@ SD 07-29 L 0 4.0 12 8 2 1 3
vs WSH 07-22 W 0 3.7 11 7 5 1 6
@ SF 07-12 L 0 5.0 15 5 1 3 1
@ LAD 07-08 W 0 6.0 18 6 5 3 2
vs MIA 07-02 W 0 4.3 13 4 1 6 4
@ MIN 06-27 W 1 5.7 17 7 1 0 2
vs PIT 06-21 L 0 5.3 16 7 5 1 4
@ CHC 06-16 L 0 5.0 15 5 5 1 1
vs CHC 06-11 W 0 5.0 15 2 7 2 1
@ LAA 06-04 L 0 3.3 10 10 5 2 8
vs SF 05-30 W 0 3.7 11 5 2 2 3
@ ARI 05-24 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 1 5
vs ARI 05-17 L 0 4.7 14 9 5 3 6
@ PIT 05-12 L 0 5.0 15 5 5 2 2
vs NYM 05-07 L 0 5.0 15 11 2 3 7
@ CIN 04-30 L 0 5.3 16 4 5 3 4

FAQ

What is Michael Lorenzen's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Michael Lorenzen for 2.7 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 2.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Michael Lorenzen Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Michael Lorenzen Over 2.5 earned runs is -105 at BetMGM, among 6 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -102.

How often has Michael Lorenzen gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Michael Lorenzen has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 1 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 30 of the last 59 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Michael Lorenzen have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Michael Lorenzen: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Michael Lorenzen?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Michael Lorenzen's game logs.

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