Chris Murphy Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Chris Murphy Earned Runs

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Chris Murphy is projected for 0.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +170 at BetMGM, against a fair line of +200. He has cleared 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 37% the market implies.

Chris Murphy projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 15

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 37%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 56
30%
17 of 56
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @TEX
1 vs HOU
0 vs HOU
1 vs NYY
0 vs NYY
0 vs NYY
1 @BOS
0 @BOS
0 vs PIT
0 @STL
3 @CLE
1 vs DET

Projected range

projection 0.4
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +200
  • Fair odds +200
  • BetMGM +170

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs DET 09-18 L 0 1.0 3 2 1 0 1
@ CLE 09-15 L 0 0.7 2 2 0 1 3
@ STL 09-13 L 0 1.3 4 2 4 0 0
vs PIT 09-09 L 0 0.7 2 0 1 0 0
@ BOS 08-06 L 0 1.3 4 0 0 0 0
@ BOS 08-05 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 1 1
vs NYY 07-30 W 0 1.0 3 1 0 0 0
vs NYY 07-29 W 0 1.0 3 1 2 0 0
vs NYY 07-27 L 0 0.7 2 1 0 1 1
vs HOU 07-26 W 0 1.0 3 0 2 0 0
vs HOU 07-24 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 1 1
@ TEX 07-21 W 1 1.3 4 0 1 0 0
vs OAK 07-11 W 0 1.0 3 1 0 1 0
vs BOS 07-08 L 0 1.0 3 1 2 0 0
@ CLE 07-05 W 0 0.7 2 3 1 1 3
@ CLE 07-03 L 0 1.0 3 0 2 0 0
@ CLE 07-02 L 0 1.7 5 0 0 0 0
@ BAL 06-29 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 1 0
vs KC 06-28 L 0 0.7 2 1 0 0 0
vs CLE 06-24 L 0 1.3 4 0 2 0 0
vs CLE 06-22 W 1 0.7 2 0 1 0 0
@ DET 06-20 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
@ DET 06-19 L 0 1.0 3 1 1 0 0
@ NYY 06-16 L 0 0.7 2 2 2 1 1
vs LAD 06-12 W 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Chris Murphy Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Chris Murphy Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Chris Murphy Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Chris Murphy's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Chris Murphy Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Chris Murphy Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Chris Murphy Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Chris Murphy's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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