Brayan Bello Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Brayan Bello Earned Runs

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Brayan Bello is projected for 5.1 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -10645 at Kalshi. He has cleared 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), versus the 99% the market implies.

Brayan Bello projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 19

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

5.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 99%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 55
78%
43 of 55
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs BAL
0 @LAD
0 vs CWS
0 vs CWS
1 vs OAK
1 vs ARI
1 @MIA
4 @NYY
4 vs SEA
0 vs LAA
0 @TEX
1 @TB

Projected range

projection 5.1
1.0 11.0

Most likely 4.0–7.0 Typical 2.0–8.0

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi -10645
  • Coinbase -10645

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ TB 09-19 L 0 8.0 24 5 11 0 1
@ TEX 09-16 L 0 1.7 5 0 2 0 0
vs LAA 09-07 W 1 5.0 15 4 7 2 0
vs SEA 09-02 L 0 3.0 9 7 0 2 4
@ NYY 08-29 L 0 4.3 13 5 2 1 4
@ MIA 08-24 W 0 2.0 6 2 1 2 1
vs ARI 08-17 W 1 4.7 14 3 3 1 1
vs OAK 08-09 L 0 4.0 12 3 4 0 1
vs CWS 08-06 W 1 2.0 6 3 1 1 0
vs CWS 08-04 W 0 3.0 9 0 2 0 0
@ LAD 08-01 W 1 4.0 12 3 3 1 0
vs BAL 07-22 L 0 5.3 16 4 5 1 0
@ NYM 07-12 W 0 4.3 13 2 5 0 1
vs BAL 06-04 L 0 5.0 15 7 4 3 8
@ CLE 05-29 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 0 0
vs MIN 05-23 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 1 0
@ ATL 05-17 L 0 5.0 15 8 1 3 7
vs PHI 05-12 L 0 6.3 19 4 5 1 1
@ DET 05-05 W 1 7.0 21 4 7 1 1
@ TOR 04-29 L 0 3.7 11 6 2 2 4
@ BAL 04-24 L 0 3.3 10 13 2 1 8
vs DET 04-18 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 3 4
@ STL 04-12 W 1 6.7 20 6 2 2 2
vs MIL 04-06 L 0 3.3 10 5 5 4 3
@ HOU 04-01 L 0 4.7 14 8 2 3 5

FAQ

Where can I find Brayan Bello Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Brayan Bello Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Brayan Bello Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Brayan Bello's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Brayan Bello Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Brayan Bello Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Brayan Bello Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Brayan Bello's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.