Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs

stl RP MLB

Matthew Liberatore is projected for 2.0 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -145 at BetOnline, against a fair line of -127. He has cleared 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 59% the market implies.

Matthew Liberatore projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 16

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

2.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 59%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 59
68%
40 of 59
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
0 vs ATL
5 @LAA
3 vs CHC
0 @TOR
5 vs COL
2 @CHC
3 @CIN
8 vs BAL
3 vs PIT
5 @COL
2 vs CWS
1 vs SF

Projected range

projection 2.0
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -127
  • Fair odds -127
  • BetOnline -145
  • Courtside -147
  • DraftKings -153
  • Onyx Odds -153
  • BetMGM -155
  • Fliff -170

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs SF 09-16 L 0 6.0 18 6 2 3 1
vs CWS 09-12 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 2
@ COL 09-06 L 0 4.3 13 4 3 2 5
vs PIT 08-30 L 0 5.7 17 6 9 2 3
vs BAL 08-25 L 0 4.0 12 8 7 1 8
@ CIN 08-19 L 0 6.0 18 4 9 0 3
@ CHC 08-14 L 0 5.3 16 2 6 1 2
vs COL 08-08 L 0 5.0 15 9 3 2 5
@ TOR 08-02 W 0 6.0 18 1 7 1 0
vs CHC 07-27 L 0 3.7 11 8 5 2 3
@ LAA 07-22 L 0 5.3 16 9 7 2 5
vs ATL 07-11 W 1 6.0 18 4 6 1 0
@ CHC 07-05 L 0 5.0 15 4 3 2 3
@ ATL 06-30 W 1 5.0 15 1 9 4 1
vs ARI 06-24 L 0 5.3 16 8 3 2 6
@ KC 06-18 L 0 1.7 5 7 2 0 5
@ MIN 06-13 W 0 4.3 13 5 4 1 4
vs CIN 06-06 W 0 4.3 13 4 4 3 3
vs CHC 05-31 W 1 5.3 16 3 4 1 0
@ MIL 05-25 L 0 5.0 15 7 10 2 3
vs PIT 05-19 W 0 4.7 14 7 9 2 4
@ OAK 05-14 L 0 5.0 15 9 5 2 4
@ SD 05-08 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 3 1
vs LAD 05-02 W 1 5.7 17 5 4 2 2
vs SEA 04-25 L 0 3.3 10 8 3 1 5

FAQ

Where can I find Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matthew Liberatore's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matthew Liberatore Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Matthew Liberatore's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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