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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: Preview, Predictions and Picks for July 4, 2025

Updated on:
Jul 5, 2025 5:20 AM
The Cincinnati Reds head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday, July 4 to kick off a 3-game series against the division-leading Philadelphia Phillies. The Reds, sitting fourth in the NL Central, look to improve their 21-23 road record against the Phillies, who have a strong 28-15 home record this season. With the Phillies sporting a 51-36 overall record, this matchup promises to be an exciting Independence Day clash.
Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Current Odds

CIN
PHI
Over
8.5
+100
Under
8.5
-110
CIN
+1.0
+100
PHI
-1.5
+132
CIN
ML
+155
PHI
ML
-159

Reds vs Phillies statistics

Stat Reds Phillies
Hits 722 (16th) 755 (7th)
Batting Average .247 (15th) .256 (6th)
Runs Batted In 384 (Tied-8th) 380 (Tied-12th)
Runs 404 (9th) 399 (12th)
Home Runs 94 (14th) 92 (Tied-16th)
Walks 290 (13th) 301 (Tied-8th)
Stolen Bases 66 (Tied-12th) 76 (7th)
Strikeouts 755 (21st) 686 (9th)
Pitches 12740 (14th) 12866 (12th)

Philadelphia Phillies recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/2/25 vs San Diego Padres W 5-1
7/2/25 vs San Diego Padres L 6-4
6/30/25 vs San Diego Padres W 4-0
6/29/25 @ Atlanta Braves W 2-1
6/28/25 @ Atlanta Braves L 6-1

Cincinnati Reds recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/2/25 @ Boston Red Sox W 8-4
7/1/25 @ Boston Red Sox L 5-3
6/30/25 @ Boston Red Sox L 13-6
6/29/25 vs San Diego Padres W 3-2
6/28/25 vs San Diego Padres L 6-4

Philadelphia Phillies injuries

  • Tristan Garnett (RP): Day-To-Day
  • Aaron Nola (SP): 60-Day-IL
  • Jose Alvarado (RP): suspension
  • Carson Taylor (SS): Day-To-Day
  • Christian McGowan (RP): Day-To-Day

Cincinnati Reds injuries

  • Spencer Steer (1B): Day-To-Day
  • Graham Ashcraft (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Noelvi Marte (3B): 10-Day-IL
  • Rhett Lowder (SP): 60-Day-IL
  • Connor Joe (RF): 10-Day-IL

Reds vs Phillies game info

Type Info
Venue Citizens Bank Park
Location Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
First pitch Fri 1:05 PM
Temperature 82°
Chance of Rain 0%

Reds vs Phillies predictions

If you’re eyeing the Cincinnati Reds lineup, there’s a lot to be curious about as they kick off this series against the Phillies. I’m especially looking at Elly De La Cruz—he’s been the Reds’ powerhouse all season, smashing 18 homers and driving in 58 runs so far, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get on base a couple times with a hit and possibly swipe another bag. TJ Friedl is another name to watch; the dude’s been consistent at the plate, batting .281, so pencil him in for a hit or two and maybe a run scored. On the mound, Andrew Abbott is taking the ball for Cincinnati. Considering his knack for scattering hits and keeping runs in check, he could go deep into the game, likely piling up a handful of strikeouts in the process.

Over on the Philadelphia Phillies’ side, there’s a lot of firepower that could give the Reds some headaches, especially at Citizens Bank Park where the Phillies own a 28-15 record this season. Trea Turner is batting just under .300, and with his ability to spray the ball all over the field, I’m backing him to collect a multi-hit night, notch a run, and maybe tack on a stolen base. Kyle Schwarber, with his team-high 26 home runs, is always a threat to take one deep, and Bryce Harper just brings that steady presence you can’t ignore. A couple of those guys getting on in front of Schwarber? That could spell trouble for the Reds’ pitching. And don’t overlook Jesus Luzardo on the mound; I think he’s got enough to keep the Reds’ bats from heating up, striking out plenty along the way.

As for who’s coming out on top, I’ve got to lean towards the Phillies in this opener. Their balanced lineup just looks a little deeper top-to-bottom, particularly at home where they thrive. Abbott might keep things close early for Cincinnati, but the Phillies’ offense has a knack for making things happen in the middle innings. Throw in Luzardo’s ability to keep hitters guessing, and Philly feels like the safer pick to grab the first game in this three-game set. Reds fans—never say never, but the Phillies just have too much going for them in front of their home crowd.

Philadelphia Phillies

Cincinnati Reds

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