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New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: Preview, Predictions and Picks for July 30, 2025

Updated on:
Jul 30, 2025 4:20 PM
The San Diego Padres, looking to sweep the series, take on the visiting New York Mets at Petco Park on Wednesday, July 30, 2025, at 4:10 PM. The Padres, riding a 2-0 series lead, aim to capitalize on their strong home record of 33-18, while the Mets seek to bounce back from their 25-30 road record.
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Current Odds

NYM
SD
Over
1.5
-125
Under
8.5
-120
NYM
+2.5
+191
SD
-1.5
+180
NYM
ML
+1050
SD
ML
-112

Mets vs Padres statistics

Stat Mets Padres
Hits 869 (22nd) 902 (16th)
Batting Average .242 (22nd) .250 (11th)
Runs Batted In 460 (Tied-14th) 412 (25th)
Runs 473 (16th) 440 (25th)
Home Runs 135 (9th) 91 (29th)
Walks 376 (Tied-5th) 339 (19th)
Stolen Bases 87 (9th) 72 (16th)
Strikeouts 865 (12th) 759 (3rd)
Pitches 16063 (5th) 15367 (25th)

San Diego Padres recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/29/25 vs New York Mets W 7-1
7/28/25 vs New York Mets W 7-6
7/27/25 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 9-2
7/26/25 @ St. Louis Cardinals W 3-1
7/25/25 @ St. Louis Cardinals L 3-0

New York Mets recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/29/25 @ San Diego Padres L 7-1
7/28/25 @ San Diego Padres L 7-6
7/27/25 @ San Francisco Giants W 5-3
7/26/25 @ San Francisco Giants W 2-1
7/25/25 @ San Francisco Giants W 8-1

San Diego Padres injuries

  • Michael King (SP): 60-Day-IL
  • Ethan Salas (C): Day-To-Day
  • Joe Musgrove (SP): 60-Day-IL
  • Jhony Brito (RP): 60-Day-IL

New York Mets injuries

  • Rafael Ortega (CF): Day-To-Day
  • Yacksel Rios (RP): Day-To-Day
  • Juan Soto (RF): Day-To-Day
  • Paul Blackburn (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • Jose Siri (CF): 60-Day-IL

Mets vs Padres game info

Type Info
Venue Petco Park
Location San Diego, California
First pitch Wed 4:10 PM
TV MLBN
Temperature 76°
Chance of Rain 0%

Mets vs Padres predictions

When you look at this New York Mets lineup, there’s no missing the big names—especially Pete Alonso, who just seems built for the spotlight in these types of games. I’m expecting Alonso to make his presence known with an extra-base hit tonight, maybe even send one over the fence, and chip in an RBI or two to keep the Mets competitive. Francisco Lindor’s consistency at the plate should set the table nicely, giving him a good shot at reaching base multiple times and possibly coming around to score. It’ll also be interesting to see what Francisco Alvarez can deliver from the lower part of the order. He’s quietly become someone pitchers can’t take lightly, and I’d keep an eye out for him to pick up a couple of knocks and give the lineup a shot in the arm. With Clay Holmes starting, I see him working deep into the game with a few strikeouts and giving the Mets solid innings.

The Padres have their own firepower, and you just can’t ignore the season Manny Machado is having. Machado is seeing the ball well right now, so a multi-hit night and an RBI seem well within reach. Meanwhile, Luis Arraez has been a machine at the plate, especially at home—don’t be surprised if he strings together another two or three hits and helps turn the lineup over. Yu Darvish should be dialed in on the mound; he’s got the kind of stuff to keep the Mets hitters guessing. I’d expect Darvish to rack up a handful of strikeouts and go toe-to-toe with Holmes into the late innings. Jackson Merrill and Fernando Tatis Jr. also feel due for some key contributions—probably a couple of hits from each, with Tatis flashing that blend of power and speed that makes any Padres game fun to watch.

So how’s this one going to shake out? The Mets may have the slight edge in overall lineup depth, but the Padres have the momentum, plus some real comfort at Petco Park with that strong home record. Given how Machado and Arraez are swinging it and the way Darvish matches up against the New York bats, I’m leaning toward the Padres closing the door and sweeping the series. Could the Mets spoil the party? Absolutely—but tonight, I like San Diego’s chances to finish strong in front of the home crowd. What about you—are you riding with the home team, or do you think the Mets are ready to turn the tide?

San Diego Padres

New York Mets

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