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Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: Preview, Predictions and Picks for July 3, 2025

Updated on:
Jul 3, 2025 6:43 PM
The Phoenix Mercury, riding a strong 12-5 record, aim to extend their road winning streak to five games as they face off against the Dallas Wings on Thursday, July 3rd at 8:00 PM at the College Park Center. The Mercury lead the regular season series 1-0, while the Wings look to bounce back from a struggling 5-13 record. This Western Conference matchup promises to be an exciting clash in the WNBA.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings

Current Odds

PHX
DAL
Over
165.5
+105
Under
165.5
-107
PHX
-11.5
+100
DAL
+11.5
-103
PHX
ML
-554
DAL
ML
+500

Mercury vs Wings statistics

Stat Mercury Wings
Streak L1 W1
Last Ten Games 7-3 4-6
Points Per Game 83.6 81.5
Rebounds Per Game 34.0 36.4
Assists Per Game 20.7 19.2
Blocks Per Game 3.7 4.4
Steals Per Game 8.8 7.4
Field Goal % 43.1 41.6
Three Point % 34.8 31.0
Points Against 79.3 84.8

Dallas Wings recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
6/28/25 vs Washington Mystics W 79-71
6/27/25 vs Indiana Fever L 94-86
6/24/25 vs Atlanta Dream W 68-55
6/22/25 @ Washington Mystics L 91-88 OT
6/20/25 @ Connecticut Sun W 86-83

Phoenix Mercury recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
6/29/25 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84-81
6/27/25 vs New York Liberty W 106-91
6/21/25 @ Chicago Sky W 107-86
6/19/25 @ New York Liberty W 89-81
6/18/25 @ Connecticut Sun W 83-75

Dallas Wings injuries

  • Myisha Hines-Allen (F): Day-To-Day
  • DiJonai Carrington (G): Out
  • Arike Ogunbowale (G): Out
  • Maddy Siegrist (F): Out
  • Tyasha Harris (G): Out

Phoenix Mercury injuries

  • Lexi Held (G): Out
  • Murjanatu Musa (C): Day-To-Day

Mercury vs Wings game info

Type Info
Venue College Park Center
Location Arlington, TX
Tip-off Thu 8:00 PM

Mercury vs Wings predictions

When it comes to the Phoenix Mercury, it feels like you can almost pencil in Satou Sabally for another big night. She’s been leading the Mercury in both points and rebounds, showing off the kind of versatile game that gives defenders headaches. If she can keep up that 19-point average, Phoenix could really set the tone early. Alyssa Thomas is the glue that holds this group together, especially with her knack for racking up assists. I’d expect her to keep finding open shooters and maybe flirt with double-digit dimes again—passing seems to be almost second nature for her. All in all, Phoenix’s stars look poised to keep that momentum rolling, especially with their impressive record on the road.

The Dallas Wings, meanwhile, are loaded with young talent eager to make a statement. If you’ve watched Paige Bueckers this season, you know she’s been putting up solid numbers as both a scorer and a playmaker. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her attack the Mercury defense aggressively, maybe pushing that points total up near the 20 mark if she can get into a groove. The biggest question for Dallas is how their rebounding will look with DiJonai Carrington out due to her rib injury. Carrington’s hustle under the glass has been huge for the Wings, so Dallas will need someone to step up and fill that gap—not an easy task against a tough Phoenix front line.

Given how things are shaping up, I’ve got to lean toward the Mercury snagging another win on the road. Their streak is no fluke; they’ve just looked sharper in closing out those tough away games. Dallas has home-court advantage, but with injuries and questions about who will step up in the paint, they might struggle to keep pace with Phoenix’s relentless scoring and ball movement. If Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas play to their usual high standard, it’s looking like Phoenix will walk away from College Park Center with their fifth straight road win. Think differently? That’s what makes WNBA hoops so much fun to follow!

Dallas Wings

No
Dallas Wings
players

Phoenix Mercury

No
Phoenix Mercury
players

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