Thunder vs Pacers predictions
All eyes are on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the Oklahoma City Thunder head into Game 6 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, just one win away from nailing down an NBA Finals victory. Shai’s been the engine for OKC all postseason and there’s no reason to believe that’ll change now—expect him to push north of 30 points with a handful of dimes and boards to fill out a classic stat line. Jalen Williams is another player I can see showing up big with around 20 points and playmaking impact, especially in high-pressure moments. In the frontcourt, Isaiah Hartenstein should bring hustle on the glass, locking in another double-digit rebound outing, and don’t sleep on Chet Holmgren sneaking into a double-double territory with his improving two-way play and shot-blocking presence. With Alex Caruso hounding defensively and chipping in offensively, the Thunder have their stars and role guys all syncing at the right time.
Flipping over to the Indiana Pacers, this team knows their backs are against the wall, but there’s some hope if Tyrese Haliburton can battle through his calf issue and keep the offense humming. I’d look for Haliburton to flirt with a double-double—something like 18 points and 8 assists sounds right—as he tries to orchestrate a final stand at home. Pascal Siakam will likely shoulder a heavy scoring load again, and don’t be surprised if he ends up pushing close to 20 points with his usual solid rebounding effort. Supporting cast matters in elimination games, so keep an eye on Myles Turner, who’s a threat for a mid-teens scoring night and a handful of swats to energize the Pacers’ crowd. If Andrew Nembhard and T.J. McConnell provide their efficient brand of spark off the bench, Indiana could put some real pressure on OKC.
The big storyline? Can the Thunder close it out, or does Indiana dig deep and force a Game 7? The way things have been trending—between Shai stepping up in crunch time, Williams rolling, and their defensive cohesion—OKC just looks a little too locked in right now. Sure, the Pacers will hit back and keep it close, but I like the Thunder’s top-end firepower and poise to be the difference-maker. It just feels like this is Oklahoma City’s moment to lift the trophy—and unless the Pacers have some magic brewing at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, don’t be shocked if the Thunder wrap up the NBA Finals in six.