Up arrow
WNBA
Games

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: Preview, Predictions and Picks for July 9, 2025

Updated on:
Jul 9, 2025 4:16 PM
The Minnesota Lynx, led by Sami Whitcomb's recent 36-point performance, travel to PHX Arena to face the Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday, July 9th at 3:30 PM. The Lynx aim to extend their 2-0 lead in the regular season series against the Mercury, who look to protect their strong 8-3 home record. This WNBA showdown pits the Western Conference's top team against a formidable opponent, promising an intense matchup.
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

Current Odds

MIN
PHX
Over
153.5
-125
Under
160.0
-110
MIN
+3.5
-115
PHX
+7.0
-110
MIN
ML
+750
PHX
ML
+315

Lynx vs Mercury statistics

Stat Lynx Mercury
Streak W5 W1
Last Ten Games 8-2 7-3
Points Per Game 85.2 84.8
Rebounds Per Game 33.9 34.1
Assists Per Game 23.8 21.2
Blocks Per Game 5.3 3.9
Steals Per Game 7.6 8.9
Field Goal % 46.3 43.3
Three Point % 35.6 35.3
Points Against 74.1 79.9

Phoenix Mercury recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/7/25 vs Dallas Wings W 102-72
7/3/25 @ Dallas Wings L 98-89
6/29/25 vs Las Vegas Aces L 84-81
6/27/25 vs New York Liberty W 106-91
6/21/25 @ Chicago Sky W 107-86

Minnesota Lynx recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
7/6/25 vs Chicago Sky W 80-75
7/5/25 vs Golden State Valkyries W 82-71
7/3/25 vs Washington Mystics W 92-75
7/1/25 vs Indiana Fever L 74-59
6/29/25 vs Connecticut Sun W 102-63

Phoenix Mercury injuries

  • Satou Sabally (F): Out
  • Lexi Held (G): Out
  • Kahleah Copper (G): Out

Minnesota Lynx injuries

  • Karlie Samuelson (G): Out

Lynx vs Mercury game info

Type Info
Venue PHX Arena
Location Phoenix, AZ
Tip-off Wed 3:30 PM

Lynx vs Mercury predictions

When you look at the Minnesota Lynx this season, it’s pretty clear who’s been setting the tone night after night. Napheesa Collier just keeps rolling, and with her recent scoring outbursts hovering around the mid-20s, it’s hard to see Phoenix slowing her down—even on the road. Plus, Courtney Williams has been on a tear finding her teammates, dishing out almost six assists per game. Honestly, if Collier and Williams keep clicking the way they have lately, you can pencil both of them in for big nights, especially with the Lynx’s offense looking so balanced and smooth. You can almost bet Collier will flirt with a double-double and Williams will be the engine making everything go.

Now switching over to Phoenix, the big question is how the Mercury will patch up their game plan without Satou Sabally, who’s still dealing with that nagging ankle. Sabally’s absence is a tough blow—not just because she leads the team in scoring and boards, but also because her presence opens up the floor for everyone else. Alyssa Thomas, though, could be the one to shine with the extra responsibility; she’s got that knack for racking up assists and her ability to orchestrate the offense under pressure is impressive. The Mercury may look to Brianna Turner to gobble up more rebounds inside, and you might see Diana Taurasi take on a more aggressive scoring role, ready to step up in a big moment. Without Sabally’s spark, though, it’s going to be a real test of Phoenix’s depth.

Given the way both teams are trending and how powerful the Lynx have looked on both ends of the floor, it’s hard not to lean Minnesota for this matchup. The Lynx have already taken the first two games in the series and come in with a red-hot record, while the Mercury are searching for a new go-to player to fill the scoring void. If Minnesota comes out with the same locked-in energy they’ve shown all season, expect them to pull away late and notch another tally in the win column. What do you think—can Phoenix pull off the upset, or is the Lynx train just too much to stop?

Phoenix Mercury

No
Phoenix Mercury
players

Minnesota Lynx

No
Minnesota Lynx
players

More Games

No items found.