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Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 30, 2025

Updated on:
May 30, 2025 10:56 PM
The undefeated Minnesota Lynx, perfect on the road with a 2-0 record, travel to PHX Arena to take on the Phoenix Mercury, who remain unbeaten at home with a 4-0 mark. The Lynx bring a 5-0 overall mark into Friday's matchup, scheduled for 10:00 PM on May 30, 2025. This clash of WNBA titans is shaping up to be an electrifying contest.
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

Current Odds

MIN
PHX
Over
148.5
-115
Under
157.0
-110
MIN
+2.5
-110
PHX
+4.5
-110
MIN
ML
+200
PHX
ML
+180

Lynx vs Mercury statistics

Stat Lynx Mercury
Streak W5 W2
Last Ten Games 5-0 4-1
Points Per Game 86.2 80.4
Rebounds Per Game 33.8 32.2
Assists Per Game 24.0 20.2
Blocks Per Game 3.4 4.8
Steals Per Game 8.0 10.2
Field Goal % 47.0 42.2
Three Point % 35.4 34.8
Points Against 77.4 74.6

Phoenix Mercury recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
5/27/25 vs Chicago Sky W 94-89
5/25/25 vs Washington Mystics W 68-62
5/23/25 @ Seattle Storm L 77-70
5/21/25 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 89-86
5/17/25 vs Seattle Storm W 81-59

Minnesota Lynx recent games

Game Date Opponent Result Score
5/27/25 vs Seattle Storm W 82-77
5/23/25 vs Connecticut Sun W 76-70
5/21/25 vs Dallas Wings W 85-81
5/18/25 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 89-75
5/16/25 @ Dallas Wings W 99-84

Phoenix Mercury injuries

  • Monique Akoa Makani (G): Day-To-Day
  • Natasha Mack (F): Out
  • Kahleah Copper (G): Out

Minnesota Lynx injuries

  • Napheesa Collier (F): Day-To-Day

Lynx vs Mercury game info

Type Info
Venue PHX Arena
Location Phoenix, AZ
Tip-off Fri 10:00 PM
TV ION

Lynx vs Mercury predictions

Looking at the way the Minnesota Lynx are rolling, all eyes will naturally land on Napheesa Collier. She’s been on an absolute tear, averaging nearly 27 points per game and grabbing almost 8 boards. Even though she’s listed as day-to-day, you just get the sense that if she’s available, she’ll do everything she can to assert her dominance inside and out. Don’t overlook Courtney Williams, either—her court vision has been top-notch, racking up over 6 assists per outing. If both Collier and Williams are firing on all cylinders, the Lynx are poised to keep the ball moving and the scoreboard lit up, especially in crunch time.

Shifting focus to the Phoenix Mercury, Satou Sabally is the heart of their scoring attack, and it wouldn't be a shock to see her push past her average, especially on her home floor where Phoenix has been flawless so far. Then there’s Alyssa Thomas, wearing multiple hats as the primary facilitator and a monster on the glass. If she can notch another game with 8+ assists and neutralize Collier even a little bit on the rebound front, the Mercury’s odds to steal one from the undefeated Lynx start looking a lot more realistic. Playing in PHX Arena gives an extra spark too. You know the home crowd is going to bring it.

All considered, this matchup has all the makings of a thriller. The Lynx come in with momentum but Phoenix’s perfect home record can't be ignored. The question is whether Collier’s potential absence or limited minutes shifts that balance. If the Lynx leader is close to 100%, I’d lean Minnesota’s way—her impact is just massive on both ends. But if there’s any hesitation or if Sabally and Thomas can capitalize, don’t be surprised to see Phoenix hold their ground at home. Still, if I’m putting my chips on the table, I’m expecting Minnesota to find a way to stay perfect, but it wouldn’t be the biggest shock in the world if Phoenix threw a wrench in those plans.

Phoenix Mercury

No
Phoenix Mercury
players

Minnesota Lynx

No
Minnesota Lynx
players

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