Wings vs Mercury predictions
All eyes are on Arike Ogunbowale heading into this matchup after her stellar 26-point performance, and there’s every reason to expect another big night from the Dallas Wings’ scoring leader. She’s the heartbeat of their offense, grabbing the ball in crunch time and making things happen—even when defensive pressure is heavy. Paige Bueckers has also been quietly racking up assists, showing impressive court vision for a young guard, so don’t be surprised if she flirts with another 7 or 8 helpers in this one. Meanwhile, Myisha Hines-Allen’s gritty play on the boards could be the x-factor; if she can crash for close to her usual 6 rebounds or more, Dallas might just hang around longer than some folks think.
Of course, the Dallas Wings aren’t the only ones with firepower. Phoenix Mercury fans have to be loving what Satou Sabally’s bringing on both ends of the floor. Putting up over 20 points per game, she’s the go-to scorer for Phoenix, but what really stands out is her versatility—she leads her squad not just in points, but also rebounds and assists. That kind of all-around dominance tends to spell trouble for opponents, especially at PHX Arena where the Mercury have been especially tough this year. With the supporting cast stepping up, Sabally could easily notch another double-double against a Wings squad that has struggled on the road.
Looking at the big picture, this feels like a game where Phoenix takes care of business at home. The Mercury’s winning record in their own building and consistent contributions from Sabally give them the inside track, especially considering Dallas has had its share of struggles closing out games lately. Still, if Ogunbowale catches fire and the Wings get a little extra something from their role players, it could get interesting down the stretch. But if you’re asking who’s more likely to pull through and grab that Commissioner's Cup win? The smart money rides with the Phoenix Mercury in front of their home crowd.