Sun vs Aces predictions
When you look at the Connecticut Sun heading into this matchup, you’ve got to be curious about how Tina Charles will try to rally the squad. Charles has been the point machine for Connecticut, dropping a solid 16.1 points per game, and you know she’ll have to dig extra deep against a tough Aces frontcourt. With Marina Mabrey sidelined due to a knee issue, that ball movement could take a hit, which puts even more pressure on Charles to get creative and score in bunches. It’ll also be interesting to see if Olivia Nelson-Ododa can step up on the boards—she’s been the Sun’s top rebounder, and the way she battles in the paint could make a real difference in keeping this one close, especially with second-chance opportunities.
Turning to the Aces, A’ja Wilson is coming off a monster 24-point game and honestly, does anyone look like they can slow her down right now? The way Wilson is balancing scoring and glass work—over 21 points and nearly 10 rebounds per game—makes her a nightmare matchup for just about any team. Chelsea Gray doesn’t always make the headlines, but her steady hand running the offense and dishing out assists keep things ticking for Las Vegas. If both Gray and Wilson are clicking, it’s tough to envision a scenario where the Aces aren’t racking up points, especially at home in Michelob ULTRA Arena where they’ve got a winning record. If Wilson gets hot early, things could get out of reach fast for Connecticut.
When you put it all together, it just feels like Las Vegas has the edge here. The Aces have already taken a game off the Sun this season and have the home court momentum, plus their offense is firing on all cylinders with Wilson at the helm. Connecticut is going to need some big surprises—especially with Mabrey out—to pull off an upset, but the odds look stacked in favor of the defending champs. If you’re putting your confidence anywhere, it’s hard not to side with the Aces to come out on top again in this one.
